La Liga · resolved market
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8c94a6ef1a81d2910c245ffbb63e04b71a77aed5f95eb0cfcd71868aed6126
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,581
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Over | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 53c | 441.38$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 44c | 294.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.66 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 55c | 203.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 170.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 61c | 160$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 335 | 44.2%148 W · 187 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…8d95backed Over | 41c | 159.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 118.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.88 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 55c | 108$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 46c | 107.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.69 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 55c | 105.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 454 | 50%227 W · 227 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Over | 15c | 83.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +8.6wins | +0.24per pick | 18cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 54c | 65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 53c | 63.61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 53c | 62.28$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 44c | 30.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.