La Liga · resolved market
Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b891dd71e0805d377ea3753e29aabb03cf55cf793653321541300c6970574cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 3,820$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.34 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 3,706$1,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.09 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 2,074$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.55 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…2c33backed Over | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.45 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…be5dbacked Over | 62c | 625$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +149.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 52c | 414.48$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.06 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…f183backed Over | 50c | 320$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Over | 67c | 300$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 58c | 240.79$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 42c | 223.8$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.8 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 176.15$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 128 | 75%96 W · 32 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 76c | 130.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 25c | 124.88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 34c | 122.71$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 23c | 122.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.79 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…efffbacked Over | 55c | 113.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 70cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 75c | 103$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.25 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 60c | 99.89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Under | 28c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 76c | 68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed Over | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Over | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.39 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 52c | 22.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 59c | 17.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Zaragoza vs. Real Sporting de Gijón: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.