Other European Leagues · resolved market

Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54796c7bd25ca28895faea852cea5f9a53fd3c05019d08a8502df794e9038400

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: May 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $59,154
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $63,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,154 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over	51c	35,721$18,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17,541.45	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	49c	7,058$3,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,432.22	5,604	42%2,356 W · 3,248 L	+75.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under	49c	5,879$2,866 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,865.98	911	48%437 W · 474 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under	49c	4,943$2,419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,418.52	2,334	46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	49c	2,705$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,332.12	2,068	48.1%995 W · 1,073 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under	50c	2,321$1,157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,157.19	2,001	36.5%730 W · 1,271 L	-25.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	56c	2,218$1,245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,244.51	7,889	45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L	+11.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	45c	2,000$910 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,089.97	125	64%80 W · 45 L	+13.6wins	+0.11per pick	53cpaid	+20.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	51c	1,944$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$993.72	116	50.9%59 W · 57 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Under	53c	1,900$1,007 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,007	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-3.7wins	-0.15per pick	51cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Over	47c	1,866$877 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$988.98	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.33per pick	47cpaid	+70.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under	50c	1,600$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	119	52.9%63 W · 56 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Under	51c	1,208$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.47	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under	50c	1,200$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	75	52%39 W · 36 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Under	53c	839.99$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$446.5	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-18%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under	50c	779.91$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.57	268	53.7%144 W · 124 L	+11.7wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under	49c	729.17$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$355.25	73	46.6%34 W · 39 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under	50c	700$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under	51c	679.56$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.15	81	60.5%49 W · 32 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Under	56c	604$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.24	64	46.9%30 W · 34 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	112	54.5%61 W · 51 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under	49c	574.3$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.9	2,012	35.5%714 W · 1,298 L	-27.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over	44c	554.19$244 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310.35	33	69.7%23 W · 10 L	+5.1wins	+0.16per pick	54cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under	50c	436.25$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$219.57	140	50%70 W · 70 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under	50c	400$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	94	57.4%54 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under	49c	394.5$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.82	89	28.1%25 W · 64 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	52c	387.14$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.33	1,711	48.3%827 W · 884 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under	50c	300$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	107	53.3%57 W · 50 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under	54c	300$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	49c	295$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.45	2,543	52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L	+18.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under	50c	280$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under	50c	260$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	66	51.5%34 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under	50c	260$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	71	52.1%37 W · 34 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under	13c	250.95$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.47	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-3.0wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under	51c	241.72$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.4	32	62.5%20 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Under	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	39c	200$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122	938	45.4%426 W · 512 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	49c	184.42$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.11	2,309	42.8%988 W · 1,321 L	-41.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	47c	174.89$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.07	383	58.7%225 W · 158 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under	50c	160$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	97	61.9%60 W · 37 L	+5.4wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under	50c	156$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	104	58.7%61 W · 43 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under	50c	156$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	92	56.5%52 W · 40 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafce…8d95backed Over	52c	153.85$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.85	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa38e…8917backed Over	76c	129.77$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.58	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+6.4wins	+0.15per pick	49cpaid	+283.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over	78c	128.15$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.19	80	67.5%54 W · 26 L	+9.8wins	+0.12per pick	55cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under	51c	108.39$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.03	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under	50c	102.78$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.53	76	59.2%45 W · 31 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	92	58.7%54 W · 38 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under	50c	100$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked Over	47c	96.87$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.34	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.51per pick	49cpaid	+104.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under	55c	94$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.71	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	59cpaid	-21%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	63	60.3%38 W · 25 L	+4.4wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	49c	71.84$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.83	199	48.7%97 W · 102 L	+5.3wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	50c	70$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.67	1,282	50.2%644 W · 638 L	-25.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under	51c	65.89$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-2.1wins	-0.17per pick	63cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over	46c	65$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	660	47.6%314 W · 346 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under	54c	65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	105	43.8%46 W · 59 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under	50c	65$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-6.0wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under	47c	64.85$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.48	69	69.6%48 W · 21 L	+4.3wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e75…0143backed Under	39c	64.09$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	83	36.1%30 W · 53 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under	49c	61$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.89	54	53.7%29 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under	50c	60$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.7	82	56.1%46 W · 36 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xda4a…1c05backed Under	50c	59$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under	47c	57.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Under	51c	56.76$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.95	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f9…92e3backed Under	53c	55.5$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.28	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-5.2wins	-0.18per pick	56cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over	42c	54.76$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.76	85	40%34 W · 51 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	43c	53.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.02	155	52.3%81 W · 74 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	54c	46.3$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.3	278	64.4%179 W · 99 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	63cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec7…ed98backed Over	47c	42.55$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.55	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+1.8wins	+0.15per pick	60cpaid	+26%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f1c…390dbacked Over	51c	40.88$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.03	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	+71%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under	50c	40$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	61	54.1%33 W · 28 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	49c	39.26$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	869	60.4%525 W · 344 L	+91.3wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Under	53c	36.36$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.27	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Under	57c	34.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.74	31	71%22 W · 9 L	+4.8wins	+0.16per pick	55cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Under	50c	33.36$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.68	102	36.3%37 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under	51c	32.14$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.39	61	59%36 W · 25 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc986…1654backed Over	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	42	54.8%23 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a7…e5d4backed Over	46c	30.93$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.74	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	72	58.3%42 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under	47c	28.19$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.25	109	29.4%32 W · 77 L	-6.1wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e4…c62abacked Over	47c	25.67$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.67	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under	49c	24.35$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.81	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	54cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…be0abacked Over	49c	22.44$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.55	39	41%16 W · 23 L	+2.7wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5this page
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 0.5Over won
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5Over won
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event