Other European Leagues · resolved market
Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd123ddaae4d8193458dbe05009cb285bf5ee63f6a14209935368c4a08792a950
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 3,800$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.61 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 71c | 2,000$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.99 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 72c | 1,519$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.7 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 29c | 855.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 72c | 591.99$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 77c | 568.54$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe990…e1cbbacked Over | 73c | 493$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 420.41$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 43c | 350$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 57c | 344.21$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.01 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +19.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 71c | 343.44$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.6 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Under | 7c | 288.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 77c | 236.5$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 70c | 202.55$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 86.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 24c | 79.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 77c | 73.95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 31c | 53.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Over | 71c | 24.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 71c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Over | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 2.5Over won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fatih Karagümrük SK vs. Alanyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.