South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4021d6bd9640b4531fe086baf5b57014238d1213337f8109cafa25c6b5cf069e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,910
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 39c | 60,000$23,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,372.75 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 61c | 7,582$4,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.29 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 61c | 6,502$3,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535.78 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 6,083$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.57 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 61c | 4,885$2,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.03 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 37c | 4,200$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.97 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 61c | 3,500$2,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.04 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 61c | 3,200$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 60c | 3,089$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.46 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 61c | 2,400$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 2,326$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.97 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 63c | 2,324$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.53 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 1,717$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.31 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 61c | 1,695$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 30c | 1,668$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.13 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Under | 61c | 1,619$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 61c | 1,400$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 1,375$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.63 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 61c | 1,200$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Under | 61c | 1,184$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 61c | 1,127$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.53 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 1,039$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.78 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 41c | 1,000$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.82 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 40c | 976.58$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.63 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 61c | 959.59$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.24 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 61c | 923.51$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.17 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 61c | 896.84$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.7 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Over | 33c | 836.95$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 61c | 800$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 62c | 797.82$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.98 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Under | 61c | 749.18$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.18 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 62c | 738.12$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 61c | 600$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 73c | 545.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.29 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 533.17$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 61c | 525.02$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 104 | 67.3%70 W · 34 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 61c | 520$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 61c | 520$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.8 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 61c | 429$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 59c | 425.91$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.62 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 34c | 365.76$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.63 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Over | 39c | 355.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -8.3wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Under | 61c | 329.93$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.67 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 61c | 327.51$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 61c | 312$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.68 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 61c | 280$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 41c | 271.23$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 62c | 253.01$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 66c | 252.81$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.95 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Over | 44c | 250$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Under | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe5…f419backed Over | 40c | 245$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 40c | 243.5$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 54c | 230.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 216 | 38.4%83 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 59c | 210.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.22 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Under | 61c | 199.44$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39f7…60d5backed Under | 71c | 181.65$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 61c | 179.32$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.9 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 61c | 160$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 62c | 158.56$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 61c | 150.74$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 25c | 135.95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 61c | 127.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 61c | 125$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 58c | 124$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 67c | 114.47$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 61c | 107.39$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 63c | 104.76$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 35c | 103.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under | 61c | 100.05$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Over | 22c | 97.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 24c | 92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 61c | 90$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 61c | 85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 61c | 83.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.7 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed Under | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Under | 61c | 76.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 46c | 75.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 23c | 71.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 61c | 59.49$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 61c | 58.51$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.82 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Under | 61c | 55.05$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.