South American Leagues · resolved market
Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78c427bcc7786f55ae53f2a25ae564eae9fecb87766fb7ead2bfabbafe85a820
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 2,285$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.47 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c6…502cbacked Yes | 50c | 1,996$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 61c | 1,716$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.46 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Yes | 50c | 1,713$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 49c | 788.78$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 50c | 698.24$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.12 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 626.4$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.57 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed No | 60c | 356.19$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 50c | 352.8$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 58c | 343.59$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.37 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 54c | 308.56$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 58c | 273.61$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.46 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x322e…a2cebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 54c | 186.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 51c | 181.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.99 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed No | 54c | 177.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.45 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes | 32c | 120.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.3 | 422 | 50.2%212 W · 210 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 52c | 117.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ba…2404backed Yes | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 51c | 107$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…c6bbbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 94.48$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad84…1897backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Yes | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed No | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…5270backed Yes | 40c | 76.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 45c | 69.37$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0614…ff8bbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 50c | 45.42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd388…7ed9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6618…3733backed Yes | 52c | 36.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed No | 48c | 33.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Yes | 61c | 32.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea47…d64bbacked Yes | 44c | 30.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 46c | 22.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Yes | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 62.3%101 W · 61 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…efaabacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…4e5bbacked No | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Mirassol FC vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)Mirassol FC won
- Spread: Mirassol FC (-1.5)Fluminense FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.