La Liga · resolved market
UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x717642b14adf38be1f7d9eecb2c2c3563b0c9dc3e79f5ce8070f4f0e61ced20b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Over | 56c | 4,264$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.46 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 4,234$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.4 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 200 | 54%108 W · 92 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 3,447$1,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.36 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 3,276$1,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.88 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 75c | 2,916$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 1,877$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.15 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Under | 55c | 1,814$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 35c | 1,776$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.29 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 44c | 1,378$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 1,350$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.35 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 74c | 1,217$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 1,080$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.7 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 42c | 1,004$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.75 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 73c | 962.47$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 48c | 829.04$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Under | 42c | 527.48$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 57c | 486.83$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.34 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 465.2$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.45 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Over | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 29c | 310.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.25 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 60c | 266.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 58c | 262.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 80c | 238$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.4 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 49c | 208.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a3…7c66backed Over | 60c | 191.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 142.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Over | 60c | 125$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 45c | 111.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 42c | 101.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -46%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…92b5backed Under | 55c | 100.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…e38ebacked Under | 42c | 88.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 57c | 82.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 82.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Over | 56c | 67.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 58c | 66.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 22c | 65.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Under | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 63c | 54.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75be…3bbabacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Over | 60c | 44.52$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Under | 42c | 42.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 56c | 39.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 33c | 37.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 64c | 33.57$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 227 | 60.4%137 W · 90 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Over | 60c | 33.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Over | 59c | 26.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 76c | 21.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Over | 59c | 16.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-2.5)UD Almería won
- UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Almería vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.