South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x967653f8bee762f907157814f834a22afb014963598929abd8d514f2d54b786a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Independiente del Valleof Independiente del Valle, Club Libertad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Independiente del Valle | 53c | 67,952$35,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,991.01 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Libertad | 47c | 12,599$5,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,921.53 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Club Libertad | 47c | 9,999$4,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,699.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…7191backed Club Libertad | 47c | 8,660$4,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.23 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Club Libertad | 47c | 7,488$3,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,552 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Club Libertad | 47c | 7,447$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Independiente del Valle | 50c | 6,364$3,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,182.05 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Club Libertad | 47c | 4,800$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,256 | 130 | 59.2%77 W · 53 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Libertad | 48c | 3,498$1,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Libertad | 46c | 2,598$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.29 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Club Libertad | 47c | 2,400$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128 | 240 | 53.8%129 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Club Libertad | 47c | 1,400$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Club Libertad | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 165 | 58.2%96 W · 69 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Club Libertad | 49c | 1,184$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.16 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Independiente del Valle | 57c | 1,086$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.39 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Libertad | 46c | 1,041$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.12 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Club Libertad | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Club Libertad | 49c | 919.99$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.8 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Club Libertad | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 288 | 51.7%149 W · 139 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Club Libertad | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 230 | 56.5%130 W · 100 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Independiente del Valle | 50c | 779.91$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Club Libertad | 47c | 624$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Club Libertad | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 249 | 56.6%141 W · 108 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Club Libertad | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Club Libertad | 50c | 597$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Club Libertad | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Club Libertad | 47c | 520$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 158 | 57.6%91 W · 67 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Club Libertad | 42c | 503.57$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Club Libertad | 45c | 407$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.45 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Club Libertad | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 242 | 57%138 W · 104 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Club Libertad | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffb…a60ebacked Club Libertad | 45c | 399.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.81 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Club Libertad | 47c | 320$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 213 | 58.7%125 W · 88 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Club Libertad | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 203 | 60.6%123 W · 80 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked Club Libertad | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Independiente del Valle | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Club Libertad | 50c | 280$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 220 | 58.6%129 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Club Libertad | 37c | 248.63$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Club Libertad | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 189 | 59.3%112 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Club Libertad | 47c | 175.08$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.29 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…e227backed Club Libertad | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Club Libertad | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Independiente del Valle | 67c | 113.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Club Libertad | 50c | 105.53$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Club Libertad | 47c | 100.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Club Libertad | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Club Libertad | 47c | 84.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Club Libertad | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Club Libertad | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Independiente del Valle | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x341b…b92cbacked Independiente del Valle | 50c | 78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Club Libertad | 46c | 64.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Club Libertad | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Club Libertad | 48c | 61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Club Libertad | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Independiente del Valle | 46c | 55.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Club Libertad | 52c | 54.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.64 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Club Libertad | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…be55backed Independiente del Valle | 54c | 46.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51d5…41b8backed Independiente del Valle | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Club Libertad | 47c | 42.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Club Libertad | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Independiente del Valle | 53c | 41.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Club Libertad | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Club Libertad | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 127 | 61.4%78 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Independiente del Valle | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Independiente del Valle | 49c | 38.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Independiente del Valle | 53c | 36.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Club Libertad | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 179 | 60.3%108 W · 71 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Independiente del Valle | 53c | 31.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…4431backed Independiente del Valle | 50c | 29.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Club Libertad | 45c | 25.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Club Libertad | 46c | 25.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-1.5)this page
- Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad: O/U 1.5Over won
- Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad: O/U 2.5Over won
- Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad: O/U 3.5Over won
- Independiente del Valle vs. Club Libertad: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Independiente del Valle (-2.5)Independiente del Valle won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.