Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6458162855550e9cb9e5ebd05d37c6ea72b5cee905beb243fab1b1765569aaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,194
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 1,750$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 47c | 1,349$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.89 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 48c | 658.52$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.09 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 112 | 37.5%42 W · 70 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 77c | 454.37$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.67 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 54c | 396.3$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.3 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 392.82$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.44 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 312.9$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.83 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 32c | 300$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf57c…66febacked Over | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 31cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71a8…22f0backed Under | 48c | 153.83$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 45c | 120$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Under | 12c | 95.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 70c | 73.2$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 71c | 71.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 51.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 46c | 42.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…31cabacked Under | 48c | 38.89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 37.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5331…3672backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 50c | 34.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Under | 48c | 31.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 53c | 28.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f46…1db8backed Over | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Over | 54c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 46c | 24.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Arouca (-1.5)FC Arouca won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-1.5)FC Arouca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.