Other European Leagues · resolved market
SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92ed643b7e0cb59232edca050f2eb296d9baf9f78e8729a93d146d4801380b3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x31c1…7047backed Over | 57c | 1,765$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.45 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 17c | 1,765$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 79c | 1,701$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.86 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,426$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Over | 56c | 1,200$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.94 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Under | 29c | 1,129$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.2 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Over | 68c | 1,020$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…761fbacked Over | 80c | 690.2$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 29c | 636.54$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.48 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 44c | 563.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 46c | 538.3$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 55c | 348.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.84 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 301.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.2 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 43c | 290.87$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.07 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 51c | 259.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.44 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Over | 71c | 177.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 50c | 165.11$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 76c | 105.26$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Under | 46c | 101.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 55c | 89.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Over | 48c | 81.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 44c | 71.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 44c | 71.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…d5e6backed Over | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 69.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b7a…52c9backed Under | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 66c | 34.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 46c | 31.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…be0abacked Under | 37c | 31.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…c808backed Over | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…62acbacked Under | 46c | 30.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e02…3667backed Over | 49c | 23.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 54c | 19.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6b…2f6abacked Over | 60c | 18.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 62c | 16.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.17 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 2.5this page
- SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 3.5Over won
- SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-1.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: CF Estrela da Amadora (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)CF Estrela da Amadora won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.