Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0147969d84e5c9464bd5c616f0d73cf23fc56737d0bf0667d9dae7c491f10a09
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 46c | 2,605$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 54c | 2,169$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.7 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 1,293$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.07 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 938.79$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.07 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 54c | 632.43$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.92 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed Under | 27c | 374.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece6…c4bfbacked Under | 46c | 366.35$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 73c | 287.53$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 191.49$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 54c | 145.25$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 47c | 66.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 47c | 63.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 52.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…256cbacked Under | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Over | 53c | 28.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Under | 46c | 26.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kayserispor (-1.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.