Other European Leagues · resolved market
Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe203c56512f65f82295582e0cbb1463806f31f75f5ae58a45887ad17e163facf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,420
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,587
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,420 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 50c | 22,887$11,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,463.55 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 3,319$2,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.71 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Under | 50c | 3,200$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 3,165$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.46 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 13c | 2,144$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.77 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 48c | 1,688$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.8 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,483$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.35 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed Under | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Under | 12c | 1,323$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 153 | 61.4%94 W · 59 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Under | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 45c | 1,068$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.6 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 979.17$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.17 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 41c | 930.7$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.15 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 140 | 50%70 W · 70 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Over | 53c | 798.11$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.11 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.28per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…383bbacked Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Under | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Under | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 475.61$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Under | 49c | 452.02$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.3 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 50c | 450$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 53c | 383.67$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 45c | 340.7$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 50c | 337$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.6 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 50c | 320$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Under | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under | 50c | 312$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 263.15$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.55 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Under | 20c | 230$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 55c | 186.2$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.41 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 40c | 104.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 102$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 48c | 99.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 73 | 68.5%50 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Under | 50c | 98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 53c | 97.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.89 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Under | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -5.2wins | -0.18per pick | 56cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 52c | 83.74$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 132 | 65.2%86 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Under | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Under | 39c | 61.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.59 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.6 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Under | 50c | 59.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 54c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 49.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 66c | 30.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79cf…91abbacked Under | 48c | 30.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 50c | 29.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Over | 77c | 28.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 46c | 27.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Over | 51c | 26.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa497…7891backed Over | 75c | 25.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…e8f8backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7e…9b98backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 54c | 18.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5this page
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rio Ave FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rio Ave FC (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-2.5)Sporting CP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.