Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf79bdb1c993ea7f11aa0fe04ab13572feea6022108a29701048834a7d3e3d6df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Guoan FCof Beijing Guoan FC, Qingdao Hainiu FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,464
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 37c | 12,493$4,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,635.21 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 50c | 2,102$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.72 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 2,006$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.16 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 1,849$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.11 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 1,600$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Guoan FC | 78c | 1,044$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.78 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 2c | 713$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 52c | 495.72$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.86 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 419.33$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.05 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 33c | 311.85$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.47 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 306.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.37 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 306.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.36 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 300$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 69c | 269.84$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 260$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bb…4d1ebacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 78c | 235.8$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.76 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 208.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 50c | 204.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 188.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 31c | 174.9$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.22 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 160$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 156$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 150.8$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.42 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2444…4252backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 49c | 129.13$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 109$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 51c | 96.6$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 95.68$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 50c | 85.54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Qingdao Hainiu FC | 52c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Beijing Guoan FC | 46c | 63.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.27 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 54c | 55.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Beijing Guoan FC | 51c | 49.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 46.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 45.15$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.27 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 40.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Beijing Guoan FC | 31c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8acc…cc29backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 50c | 33.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Beijing Guoan FC | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 143 | 49.7%71 W · 72 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Beijing Guoan FC | 54c | 29.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Beijing Guoan FC | 47c | 27.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c91…af73backed Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 55c | 24.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e71…57a3backed Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 21.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7468…3d24backed Beijing Guoan FC | 49c | 21.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Qingdao Hainiu FC | 52c | 20.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)this page
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Beijing Guoan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.