MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc75f18ab68997cf33ad67059e381d0e3bf2c8df510908d5e635d5182dd586e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $225,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $225,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 52c | 129,655$67,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,553.51 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 75,000$36,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,299.99 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Under | 49c | 20,211$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Under | 49c | 19,333$9,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,473.07 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 13,556$6,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,506.88 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 51c | 12,000$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,880 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 11,348$5,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,531.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Under | 48c | 9,998$4,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.17 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Over | 50c | 8,620$4,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Over | 52c | 6,235$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.15 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 5,304$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,613.02 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 2,995$1,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.5 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 2,752$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 2,545$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.94 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 2,400$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 49c | 2,339$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.56 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 2,287$1,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,118.29 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 2,165$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.13 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.84 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 50c | 1,794$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.21 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 1,449$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 41c | 1,327$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.04 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 48c | 1,321$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.11 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 1,320$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.04 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Over | 51c | 1,276$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.12 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 1c | 1,210$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 108 | 5.6%6 W · 102 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +339.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 55c | 1,197$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.64 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 859 | 52.6%452 W · 407 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 776.72$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.26 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 41c | 687.87$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Under | 50c | 577.15$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.58 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 52c | 564.48$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.95 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 63c | 544.63$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.18 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 48c | 447.28$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.85 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 38c | 396.57$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.29 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59a8…eb4ebacked Over | 52c | 324.45$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.45 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 305 | 54.4%166 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 272.94$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085b…ab9fbacked Over | 20c | 249.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.76 | 339 | 34.5%117 W · 222 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Under | 49c | 230.29$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 36c | 224$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.36 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd9…be42backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Under | 50c | 185.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 31c | 179.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 175$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa884…46a8backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63fe…70f3backed Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5852…121dbacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…1073backed Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc43a…591dbacked Under | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Under | 47c | 147.81$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.11 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…5934backed Under | 74c | 130.68$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -15.4wins | -0.25per pick | 73cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 50c | 125.44$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a58…f9d8backed Under | 57c | 123$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 48c | 122.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 49c | 120$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 619 | 48.6%301 W · 318 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Over | 32c | 106$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 32c | 106$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Under | 68c | 102.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3921…db37backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Under | 77c | 90.58$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Over | 51c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 50c | 87.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 48c | 83.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…1927backed Under | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1301…2cf7backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ff…ec82backed Under | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 215 | 54.9%118 W · 97 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…241cbacked Under | 49c | 71.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 50c | 67.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.97 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 51c | 67.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Under | 60c | 66.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Over | 40c | 61.95$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Under | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Under | 50c | 57.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…e076backed Under | 49c | 57.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Under | 52c | 54.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 830 | 53%440 W · 390 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Over | 28c | 51.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 447 | 37.4%167 W · 280 L | -24.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed Under | 49c | 50.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 56c | 43.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 49c | 42.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed Over | 50c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 138 | 53.6%74 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b16…a327backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 66c | 39.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 558 | 47.7%266 W · 292 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesChicago Cubs won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 10.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 4.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Chicago Cubs won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh PiratesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.