WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6646644b43e22f381a49cff5d5394997a183779cab29197d1d2d520270ba75a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe10f…e4aebacked Over | 55c | 2,895$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 56c | 2,143$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.86 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Under | 55c | 1,810$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 45c | 1,140$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.8 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc594…773fbacked Under | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 62c | 909$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.83 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 45c | 840$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.8 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Over | 37c | 771.56$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.08 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +8.0wins | +0.42per pick | 37cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 587.35$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.78 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 44c | 514.5$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.38 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 49c | 511.32$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…a2d6backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 448.99$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 344.36$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.5 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 49c | 200.01$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.01 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 193.82$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.48 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 192$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 17c | 148.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 351 | 18.5%65 W · 286 L | -49.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 58c | 133.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 49c | 76.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.19 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Over | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 35c | 63.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 58c | 63.07$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 45c | 63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 38c | 61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Over | 56c | 60.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Under | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…61e3backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Under | 42c | 33.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Over | 44c | 30.89$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 44c | 30.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 52c | 30.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.61 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 45c | 30.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 45c | 30.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Over | 45c | 30.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 55c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Over | 47c | 22.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…f388backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 171.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.