WNBA · resolved market
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaafee58f008dba93342ae0c9dc6c678e1fcb11355036ffece009e89c56eb8c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,245
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 51c | 8,000$4,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.14 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 5,578$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.77 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…3042backed Under | 51c | 3,600$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 2,833$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.79 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 2,541$1,234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.66 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 992.97$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.69 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 904.8$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.32 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd0…c253backed Under | 51c | 703.51$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 49c | 675.51$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…ca9dbacked Under | 51c | 392.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 211$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 53c | 207.79$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 45c | 197.43$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 55c | 187.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 172.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 18c | 142.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Under | 51c | 97.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 52c | 76.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 53c | 65.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 49c | 55.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…34d0backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 57c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Under | 51c | 47.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 53c | 47.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Under | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Over | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.64 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 49c | 28.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 51c | 24.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb21…3f88backed Over | 49c | 23.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 45c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 172.5this page
- Chicago Sky vs. Indiana FeverIndiana Fever won
- Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 170.5Over won
- Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 171.5Over won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.