NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13c44b7a3f2ef951d1c00dda23c0fe5e9ab9f408a5b6bcb49d37d70d292c3a7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,186
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,186 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 38c | 13,064$4,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,964.31 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 62c | 11,967$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,547.61 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.7 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 23c | 1,978$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.64 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 52c | 1,654$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Under | 48c | 1,613$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.3 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 21c | 1,523$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.09 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 73c | 1,266$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.89 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked Under | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Over | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.99 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.99 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 53c | 733.42$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.69 | 528 | 61.9%327 W · 201 L | +32.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 53c | 401.85$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.87 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 62c | 379.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.27 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e1…06bbbacked Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 72c | 313.33$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 61c | 304.55$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Over | 62c | 274.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.19 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 62c | 215.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.74 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Under | 24c | 206.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 48c | 188.07$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 253 | 40.3%102 W · 151 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Under | 44c | 139$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 172 | 37.2%64 W · 108 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 61c | 132.08$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.51 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 58c | 128.63$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…42cebacked Under | 43c | 107.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 35c | 100.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 56c | 96.2$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Over | 62c | 86.82$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Over | 53c | 80.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 592 | 55.4%328 W · 264 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Over | 62c | 69.66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafae…ca54backed Under | 25c | 57.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Over | 61c | 54.05$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 304 | 48.4%147 W · 157 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…add4backed Over | 63c | 50.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565c…f3c0backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Over | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1992…30e2backed Under | 25c | 45.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Over | 62c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 717 | 52%373 W · 344 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 24c | 44.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 40c | 35.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +12.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Under | 49c | 32.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Under | 38c | 29.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29d8…e1b3backed Over | 62c | 25.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 66c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 80c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 259 | 44%114 W · 145 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 61c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 66c | 16.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 168 | 67.3%113 W · 55 L | +13.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeae…523dbacked Over | 78c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.94 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0076…b1b6backed Over | 75c | 13.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- De'Aaron Fox: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 26.5Yes won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 2.5Yes won
- Julian Champagnie: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Mikal Bridges: Rebounds O/U 0.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- OG Anunoby: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-12.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-17.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-18.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-19.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-21.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-5.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-6.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-7.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Knicks (-9.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-16.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-17.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-18.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-19.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-20.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-3.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-7.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-8.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Spurs (-9.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.