WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5e6601c0d2682610c014122ec282dbf1635849b601baa9beb519f56dec22aa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,763
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,763 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 7,156$3,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.06 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 5,989$2,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.92 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over | 48c | 4,031$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,934.92 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 4,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.98 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 52c | 2,751$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.95 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 61c | 2,219$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.41 | 214 | 47.7%102 W · 112 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 50c | 1,821$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.4 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 39c | 1,729$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.21 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Under | 52c | 1,687$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.87 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 51c | 1,431$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.09 | 511 | 47.2%241 W · 270 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 834.29$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.49 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 38c | 437.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.25 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 410$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.2 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Under | 52c | 346.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.15 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Under | 58c | 320.1$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +8.0wins | +0.42per pick | 37cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 50c | 301.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.9 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 44c | 271.48$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.11 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Under | 51c | 222$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.78 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 51c | 196.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 26c | 178.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.98 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 42c | 124.1$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 66c | 81.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 76.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Under | 53c | 56.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Over | 48c | 53.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 70c | 43.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Over | 47c | 41.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a03…4066backed Under | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 55cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 52c | 21.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 63c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Under | 63c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut SunIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.