WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71e978eeeffa1c62090ac1c3bd84239d5016b64d53636a9eab21e506c680ebee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 54c | 5,545$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 50c | 4,878$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.46 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 51c | 4,693$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.38 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 46c | 2,120$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.59 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 1,850$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.06 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Under | 52c | 1,423$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.92 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 51c | 1,180$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.13 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 1,165$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.22 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 985.94$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.07 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 55c | 909.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.07 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 43c | 736$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.75 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 33c | 726$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.08 | 214 | 46.3%99 W · 115 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 51c | 670.7$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.01 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 53c | 627$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.64 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5145…dd71backed Over | 32c | 502$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.64 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 489.39$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.59 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 47c | 464.43$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.15 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 59c | 448.03$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.58 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 47c | 441.25$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 413.96$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.6 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 45c | 341.85$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.4 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 47c | 291.78$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.7 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3a…55babacked Over | 9c | 287$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 47c | 233.5$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.79 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 55c | 182.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 50c | 182.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 57c | 140.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 41c | 135.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.68 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 117.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.21 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 63c | 111.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Over | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 66c | 105.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 50c | 101.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.13 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 79.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 88 | 60.2%53 W · 35 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 65.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 51c | 59.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 40c | 54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 39c | 50.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Over | 28c | 50.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 29c | 49.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 64c | 45.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 321 | 50.2%161 W · 160 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 28c | 41.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…0b91backed Under | 53c | 37.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9632…a379backed Under | 53c | 37.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Under | 54c | 36.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 54c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 39c | 32.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 65c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 50c | 25.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a6…252abacked Under | 44c | 24.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6432…36febacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b9…6d67backed Under | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut SunIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.