WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd166dc800a7ae18b7442618667c7b5d17fb302702e373c237cb73346945ca108
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,783
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 52c | 11,524$5,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980.59 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 49c | 7,052$3,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.45 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 4,537$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,417.94 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 2,737$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,337.07 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 2,478$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.58 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 39c | 1,168$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.49 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 1,128$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.67 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 61c | 1,065$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.4 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 51c | 820.95$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.48 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 524.52$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 43c | 476.69$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.71 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 51c | 442.96$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.05 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 48c | 301.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.98 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 266.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.11 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 48c | 255.67$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Over | 52c | 248.08$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 37c | 239.07$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.46 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435f…2de6backed Over | 46c | 233.47$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 50c | 200.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 47c | 171.47$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 50c | 151.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 53c | 150$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 54c | 137.96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.46 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 53c | 104.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Over | 69c | 101.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Over | 53c | 84.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Under | 75c | 57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Under | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 50c | 34.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 52c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 40c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa11f…1252backed Under | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…d0a8backed Under | 54c | 27.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Under | 73c | 20.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 170.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut SunIndiana Fever won
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 171.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-11.5)Connecticut Sun won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-8.5)Indiana Fever won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)Indiana Fever won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.