TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 201.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$76,598
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,634

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,598 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2b46…684dbacked Under4c11,965$441 inLost-$440.841,64547.5%782 W · 863 L+40.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd026…ec2fbacked Under27c11,246$3,000 inLost-$3,000560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+66.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under1c10,962$127 inLost-$127.331,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Under17c2,413$410 inLost-$410.256445.3%29 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under4c1,606$72 inLost-$72.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under16c1,493$239 inLost-$238.93964.1%25 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+56.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Over68c1,282$872 inWon+$410.3218140.3%73 W · 108 L+24.4wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+60.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked Over71c987.79$704 inWon+$283.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1c6…2d29backed Under6c827.62$49 inLost-$49.174431.8%14 W · 30 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over79c627.78$494 inWon+$133.3325045.6%114 W · 136 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Over68c600$410 inWon+$189.611329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Over60c534.75$323 inWon+$211.5753945.3%244 W · 295 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under16c485.07$79 inLost-$78.6964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over80c476.67$381 inWon+$95.332,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under18c420$76 inLost-$75.625954.4%141 W · 118 L+34.1wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+68.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3c41…6275backed Over64c400$256 inWon+$1444526.7%12 W · 33 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Over61c400$244 inWon+$155.745544.8%204 W · 251 L+21.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xafae…ca54backed Under8c350.28$28 inLost-$28.093333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under10c283.82$27 inLost-$27.091,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Under17c199.99$34 inLost-$342744.4%12 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ca2…088ebacked Over60c198$119 inWon+$79.271631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over54c175$95 inWon+$80.1278639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x316f…795abacked Over62c169$104 inWon+$64.5617237.2%64 W · 108 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed Over56c160$89 inWon+$70.6121242%89 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dc6…fb06backed Under15c147$21 inLost-$21.462441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x300d…780dbacked Over66c133$88 inWon+$45.246648.5%32 W · 34 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick36cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Over68c131$89 inWon+$42.4216640.4%67 W · 99 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Over68c131$89 inWon+$42.4223441.5%97 W · 137 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under17c79.8$13 inLost-$13.530448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Under19c61.16$12 inLost-$11.622937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9ec…aa22backed Over45c42.1$19 inWon+$23.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+179%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Over51c30.2$15 inWon+$14.921225%3 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 98. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.