WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6dc9985b30d76cdc6247af66ec31eb30ad7ac011f8ed94bda10ff89cf8043265
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Under | 54c | 27,756$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,755.67 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 13,282$6,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,148.23 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Over | 48c | 5,285$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 46c | 3,512$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.04 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 3,357$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.6 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 53c | 2,941$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.24 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Over | 44c | 2,742$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Over | 63c | 1,794$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Over | 50c | 1,369$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.23 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 4c | 1,357$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 1,259$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.83 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 712.14$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.9 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 540$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.1 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 480$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Under | 21c | 319.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 64c | 315.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.91 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 51c | 301.76$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.86 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 232.52$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 45c | 206.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 48c | 188.4$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.91 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 165$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.55 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d46…b09bbacked Over | 54c | 160$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 114.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 50c | 100.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 97.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 33c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 33c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 33c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Under | 33c | 86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.62 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 46c | 80$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Under | 23c | 72.46$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 27cpaid | +182%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Under | 52c | 72.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 48c | 68.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.83 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Under | 28c | 64.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +8.0wins | +0.42per pick | 37cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 53c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 47c | 45.48$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 62c | 41.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 52c | 40.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Over | 48c | 21.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 49c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.