WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafa1d6ad46a97e52fbdcd0082217befa976318ce3eeb990dbd2818e3eae6cfad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 13,999$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,439.76 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 6,374$2,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,932.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed New York Liberty | 52c | 4,128$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.29 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 1,971$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.13 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 1,748$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.9 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 1,189$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.11 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 925.38$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.67 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 538.39$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.04 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 348.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.97 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed New York Liberty | 53c | 347.58$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.36 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 276.18$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.39 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 272$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.46 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 241.32$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.71 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc920…7914backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 206.15$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Liberty | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6303…9556backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 192.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 189.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.39 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty | 55c | 185.5$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.99 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed New York Liberty | 53c | 166.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 116.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 116.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 111.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xac15…75a4backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed New York Liberty | 52c | 99.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.99 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 92.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 90.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 80.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.04 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Indiana Fever | 47c | 77.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed New York Liberty | 54c | 70.25$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 57.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked New York Liberty | 53c | 45.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed New York Liberty | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…e292backed New York Liberty | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed New York Liberty | 53c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 32.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 32.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e8b2backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 32.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked New York Liberty | 55c | 31.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc597…c695backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 31.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 30.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 30.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Indiana Fever | 46c | 26.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…9945backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 26.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed New York Liberty | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 24.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Liberty | 55c | 22.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked New York Liberty | 54c | 18.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.