WNBA · resolved market
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc02c940b3aafb16d87958d66a0bf85f6cc2143dfa39d9051480bbf76c94c47e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,997
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,997 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7634…600dbacked Under | 54c | 8,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 46c | 3,935$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.1 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,227$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.12 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 47c | 2,091$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.45 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 53c | 1,259$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.61 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 2c | 1,251$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 571.22$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.95 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 49c | 518.87$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.87 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 47c | 304.7$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 53c | 207.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked Over | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 43c | 167$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.44 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 97.16$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…7c43backed Under | 54c | 74.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 56c | 62.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 58.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658b…ad0fbacked Over | 53c | 58.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x499c…2f8ebacked Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -7.1wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 65c | 46.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Under | 45c | 43.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…8379backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 48c | 36.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…b41fbacked Under | 55c | 21.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5this page
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.