WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d19886c42fd15aa141c755086a6a121f472f1b3b0e65948b8e3f7b5d7f01d3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof New York Liberty, Indiana Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 47c | 22,818$10,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,104.78 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cf…85a0backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 18,570$9,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,841.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 12,408$6,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,452.32 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 9,486$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4c…1f30backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 8,600$4,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,558 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 8,173$3,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,310 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed New York Liberty | 47c | 5,614$2,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,975.42 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed New York Liberty | 48c | 5,555$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,888.6 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 4,222$2,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.8 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 3,172$1,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,543.95 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 48c | 3,086$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.67 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed New York Liberty | 50c | 2,837$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.1 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 48c | 2,767$1,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.84 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Indiana Fever | 56c | 1,893$1,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.06 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty | 46c | 1,733$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.08 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed New York Liberty | 51c | 1,433$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 1,281$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.38 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 1,143$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.66 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 1,008$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.41 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked New York Liberty | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 52c | 964$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.52 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476d…0c42backed New York Liberty | 51c | 919.18$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.4 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7587…c65abacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 695.06$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.53 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 511.26$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed New York Liberty | 49c | 439.99$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.4 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 426.05$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.59 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4559…1c26backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 409.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed New York Liberty | 44c | 348.13$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.95 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed New York Liberty | 49c | 336.84$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 48c | 301.58$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 238.49$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.4 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…1082backed New York Liberty | 49c | 225.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…271bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2e…cc6bbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed New York Liberty | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72db…abc9backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 188.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…0b46backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed New York Liberty | 51c | 132$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed New York Liberty | 38c | 129.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 127.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 125$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed New York Liberty | 51c | 122$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 109$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca9…02e1backed New York Liberty | 48c | 106.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…c451backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Fever | 73c | 75.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 72.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 70.02$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.01 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbf…821abacked Indiana Fever | 80c | 68.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…5d44backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Indiana Fever | 60c | 61.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Indiana Fever | 66c | 59.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed New York Liberty | 50c | 54.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 51.16$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty | 50c | 49.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 46.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty | 49c | 41.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…3be2backed New York Liberty | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…2147backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked New York Liberty | 46c | 29.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa541…7aefbacked Indiana Fever | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed New York Liberty | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 20.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…0fa6backed New York Liberty | 51c | 20.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Indiana Fever | 54c | 20.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf0…ce7cbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…0827backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed New York Liberty | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-3.5)this page
- Indiana Fever vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Under won
- Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-2.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.