TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd97d…6bf4backed Yes41c24,536$9,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,590.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No61c7,377$4,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,493.41,44345.9%662 W · 781 L-22.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed No60c6,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6006553.8%35 W · 30 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No63c3,683$2,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.033,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No64c3,401$2,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,173.5675240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No60c3,250$1,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,941.971,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Yes34c2,941$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.173129%9 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+287.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c2,292$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.252,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c2,144$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.488,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked Yes40c1,715$686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02913257.6%76 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c1,645$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.111,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f9c…df69backed Yes37c1,623$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.87666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+63.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes40c1,534$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.7338233%126 W · 256 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No60c1,531$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.043,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No60c1,503$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907.091,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes66c1,473$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.038657%49 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+29%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x743f…4d76backed Yes35c1,434$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+51.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f45…5390backed Yes35c1,429$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.576735.8%24 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8077…ffefbacked No34c1,419$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.34837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick20cpaid+57.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes41c1,341$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.46825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-45.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Yes41c1,220$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.81361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes34c1,200$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.971050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No19c1,198$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.436412.5%8 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-70%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked No60c1,075$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.136349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No66c1,001$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.442,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014530.3%44 W · 101 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No59c1,000$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5906243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.998554.1%46 W · 39 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c955.56$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.411,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes40c950.63$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.9666837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed No59c930.79$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55027349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked No17c740.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.387925.3%20 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No65c720.93$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.8835240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No60c712.54$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.8931039.7%123 W · 187 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No66c689.8$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.141,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac69…3c46backed Yes75c666.66$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.664852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes41c644.67$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.3628940.1%116 W · 173 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf797…37ccbacked Yes39c638$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.182839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No60c625$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3751,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No60c625$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3752,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No60c624.01$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.931,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No61c617.38$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.211,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No3c560$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812434.7%43 W · 81 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Yes35c555.55$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.117723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No59c547$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7312757.5%73 W · 54 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes32c518.75$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.753928.2%11 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes42c502.5$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.539651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7e…564dbacked Yes40c500$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003743.2%16 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa4…f5b4backed Yes39c476.46$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+153.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked No53c472.31$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.117342.5%31 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No59c469.61$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.113049.2%64 W · 66 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No23c409.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2732139.6%127 W · 194 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No66c406.01$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2671,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2402564%16 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No59c400$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23620846.6%97 W · 111 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes40c397.12$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.271,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes37c314.56$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.5620934%71 W · 138 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes72c301.03$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.455939%23 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Yes35c300.09$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8495155.8%531 W · 420 L+31.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No60c300$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18055946%257 W · 302 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e56…d55ebacked No15c287.85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.21952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf647…cd74backed Yes41c278.05$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Yes41c267$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9714…5152backed No59c251$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.092751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.95248.1%25 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd1…73a1backed Yes41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.91250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes76c235.82$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.735046.3%162 W · 188 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes51c215.79$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.131,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No48c214$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.230847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No13c201.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes73c190.44$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4223254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Yes41c188.44$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125815.5%9 W · 49 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick11cpaid+42.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No48c170.48$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1742946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x866c…19c0backed Yes60c166.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.667454.1%40 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Yes40c155.46$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.713650%18 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91c7…808fbacked No67c153.79$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.042268.2%15 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes39c141.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.037745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46d4…ab12backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.896527.7%18 W · 47 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes40c130$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes51c128.21$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4351945.7%237 W · 282 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d07…6555backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+126.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No60c128$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.817951.4%92 W · 87 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No58c121.34$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.251,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No60c118.81$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2515651.9%81 W · 75 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No59c112.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.889551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes33c108.35$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.471,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes36c105.62$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.65164.7%33 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No67c97.01$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658858%51 W · 37 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f44…e1f9backed Yes31c96.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Yes34c88.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.24944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick22cpaid+94.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No60c86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.32,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No59c86$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7415359.5%91 W · 62 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bcb…374bbacked Yes34c85.29$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.291963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No59c84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.978756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked No60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503641.7%15 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6763…4be5backed Yes75c82.47$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c6…19e2backed No37c82$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.541428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-36%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0da8…54afbacked Yes49c81.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a47…cfbbbacked No60c81.28$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.77475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+56.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes30c81.1$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.772347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.