South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab94263fcab12ae176da88fcda4422a55930b7a9c3b51269e396d95cce0e75b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,102
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 30c | 5,831$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.1 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 5,004$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.27 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 69c | 4,999$3,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.68 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…3d72backed No | 70c | 4,539$3,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,351.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 10c | 2,958$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.38 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…4d4abacked Yes | 31c | 1,452$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 68c | 1,324$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.67 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked No | 72c | 1,047$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.16 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Yes | 31c | 1,034$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.49 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 977.4$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.66 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 70c | 769$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.61 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 73c | 725.7$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 700.6$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…e738backed Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 684.61$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.54 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 583.99$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.1 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 31c | 511$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.86 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 69c | 481.02$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.12 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 434.74$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.77 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed No | 70c | 393.98$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.98 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 13c | 354.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 336.46$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e97…8908backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x866c…19c0backed Yes | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…cd74backed Yes | 31c | 280.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 19c | 280.04$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.96 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Yes | 5c | 231$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 30c | 212.03$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 31c | 206.45$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 74c | 192.02$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 176$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…bec7backed Yes | 30c | 165.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 29c | 155.13$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 310 | 39.7%123 W · 187 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bf…b8e1backed No | 69c | 144.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 142.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 123.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 31c | 121.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 117$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.37 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Yes | 32c | 106.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.92 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 31c | 103.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 31c | 96.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 94.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb8…ff18backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Yes | 35c | 71.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2815…7f0cbacked No | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb66e…47c5backed No | 79c | 63.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 69c | 60.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda25…abafbacked No | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 58.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 56.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2476…7eeebacked No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ede…1ffabacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x091a…8287backed Yes | 32c | 46.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80a…c7b1backed No | 70c | 46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…e747backed No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 31c | 39.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…149abacked Yes | 33c | 39.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Yes | 31c | 33.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x713d…15d0backed No | 70c | 28.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 166 | 41.6%69 W · 97 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 74c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 69c | 15.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-16?this page
- Will EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?No won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.