South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36a1218a5c02d8dd5668affb8599c1267e78dbddbad9c4d8aa80ceada525e4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x69f6…a5d3backed No | 72c | 9,855$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 29c | 6,736$1,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.41 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 4,967$1,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.47 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 2,967$2,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.38 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 55c | 1,954$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.81 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,905$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.33 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 28c | 992.13$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.8 | 273 | 49.5%135 W · 138 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 28c | 860.42$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.92 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d0…6732backed Yes | 17c | 858.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 39c | 544$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 41c | 504$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.2 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 378.54$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.84 | 1,442 | 37.6%542 W · 900 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 368.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.18 | 2,287 | 34.3%784 W · 1,503 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8944…da4bbacked Yes | 19c | 357.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.96 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16f…a33fbacked No | 64c | 311.58$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 28c | 301.11$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.2 | 321 | 39.6%127 W · 194 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7e…564dbacked Yes | 18c | 277.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 271.21$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 80c | 234$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7e…4bb1backed Yes | 14c | 216.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 205.16$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.23 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 57c | 200.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.61 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 59c | 156.59$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 71c | 140$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x113e…e74fbacked No | 56c | 138.86$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 34%71 W · 138 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 78c | 130.59$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.31 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 37c | 126.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 116.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed No | 65c | 112.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 79c | 108.76$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked No | 78c | 108.44$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 29c | 103.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Yes | 35c | 102.86$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…8036backed Yes | 55c | 101.82$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 28c | 97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d4…ad01backed Yes | 50c | 92.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 65c | 92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 151 | 43%65 W · 86 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Yes | 29c | 88.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 167 | 51.5%86 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 17c | 70.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed No | 65c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 28c | 52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 788 | 56.3%444 W · 344 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…1baabacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…b109backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?this page
- Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-07-16?No won
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-07-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.