Europa Conference League · resolved market
FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf2c7fc7444cf4795a2522ffbb6a023483b422989fba41413711be944d329785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,110
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,110 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 44c | 3,534$1,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b46…8438backed Yes | 56c | 3,516$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked No | 27c | 1,369$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 73c | 1,369$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.56 | 60 | 73.3%44 W · 16 L | +9.6wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 52c | 240$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 57c | 174.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.93 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 43c | 149.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked No | 44c | 136.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 48c | 121.92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 48c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 42c | 87.51$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 87.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 57c | 86.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 68.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 47c | 63.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a8…2cc5backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a18…a0f3backed Yes | 59c | 51.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 57c | 41.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 55c | 39.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…825cbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Yes | 42c | 38.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed No | 35c | 33.83$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 57c | 33.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Hegelmann vs. Paide Linnameeskond: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Hegelmann (-1.5)Paide Linnameeskond won
- Spread: Paide Linnameeskond (-1.5)FC Hegelmann won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.