Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Tagger (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69278256ae7bc2f44b52a91b2523d4665e559bb348021da383859351d7dd5153
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Taggerof Krejcikova, Tagger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Krejcikova | 63c | 2,040$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.94 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f9…a28cbacked Tagger | 37c | 1,554$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.05 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Tagger | 47c | 1,122$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.22 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Krejcikova | 53c | 1,000$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.39 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Tagger | 38c | 689.99$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.79 | 392 | 43.4%170 W · 222 L | +21.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…6f67backed Krejcikova | 16c | 618.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x162d…8944backed Tagger | 38c | 526.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.64 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | +13.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Krejcikova | 62c | 419.9$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.34 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Krejcikova | 62c | 271$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.02 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Krejcikova | 50c | 142.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.46 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Tagger | 52c | 123.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Tagger | 39c | 110.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.13 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…641ebacked Krejcikova | 62c | 84.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Tagger | 38c | 65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Krejcikova | 28c | 59.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tagger | 72c | 59.14$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.56 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Krejcikova | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Tagger | 39c | 47.89$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 559 | 41.3%231 W · 328 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Tagger | 40c | 39.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Krejcikova | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b73…02c0backed Tagger | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Krejcikova | 60c | 31.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Krejcikova | 61c | 31.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Krejcikova | 62c | 25.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Tagger (+1.5)this page
- Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora KrejcikovaLilli Tagger won
- Set 1 Winner: Tagger vs KrejcikovaKrejcikova won
- Set 2 Winner: Tagger vs KrejcikovaTagger won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.