World Politics · resolved market
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by March 31, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf54aebcbf84da259bf7bf4d94409f5e66cce51dc1f7681ebbd13d8ef81b7b209
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,282
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x791e…17ddbacked Yes | 8c | 9,262$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.14 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa910…1657backed Yes | 11c | 4,305$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 14c | 3,944$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.07 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,895$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.85 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…f529backed Yes | 1c | 1,843$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f5…cf41backed Yes | 1c | 1,697$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…657cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,630$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 8c | 1,600$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.78 | 58 | 15.5%9 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf9…2d5dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,589$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff8…973dbacked Yes | 18c | 1,434$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b7…c5babacked Yes | 16c | 1,234$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 652.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcad4…1a4cbacked Yes | 15c | 621$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd44…2c0ebacked Yes | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…0ed5backed Yes | 8c | 422.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 11c | 411.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 14c | 397.37$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed Yes | 8c | 377.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 13c | 332.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 10c | 291.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f2…96cfbacked Yes | 12c | 284.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 6c | 283$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 94 | 18.1%17 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 10c | 232.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 8c | 218.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 241 | 10.8%26 W · 215 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1091…a259backed Yes | 12c | 210.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 8.1%11 W · 124 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 77 | 2.6%2 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b17…1713backed Yes | 13c | 178.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17a5…e00abacked Yes | 8c | 163.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 17c | 115$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed Yes | 16c | 112.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 17c | 110$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 115 | 2.6%3 W · 112 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…d641backed Yes | 12c | 97.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5527…4e68backed Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.