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NHL · resolved market

Stars vs. Avalanche

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Starsof Stars, Avalanche
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$299,863
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,408

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,863 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche41c33,020$13,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,683.346163.9%39 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Stars58c26,242$15,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,145.3792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Avalanche57c16,977$9,677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,676.6816743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Stars43c15,555$6,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,866.354944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked Stars71c13,887$9,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.611877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+37.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche55c13,044$7,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,205.3217448.9%85 W · 89 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38c2…d3a7backed Avalanche57c8,783$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche42c6,559$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.911,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche43c5,461$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,345.9258841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Stars67c4,551$3,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,491.0982043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Stars43c4,500$1,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,56519451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Stars56c4,097$2,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.4840550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e3…ce1fbacked Stars49c3,862$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,956.7913655.1%75 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Stars49c3,848$1,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,962.284753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Avalanche57c3,797$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,164.275644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Stars49c3,019$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.287149.3%35 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x283d…0dadbacked Avalanche40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2005248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Avalanche30c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Stars50c1,978$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.812,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Stars46c1,500$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8101741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid+106.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Stars47c1,482$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.552172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche35c1,441$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.5244848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd724…b805backed Stars64c1,411$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.871457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stars66c1,292$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.319149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stars55c1,226$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.043,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1334…3c35backed Stars44c1,136$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.365054%27 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Stars44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5601,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche56c999.99$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc3b…020bbacked Avalanche57c999.89$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.0820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Stars60c945$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.263345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Avalanche56c871.6$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.481233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-34.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Stars70c824$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.226344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche48c708$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.161,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Stars54c697.27$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.292,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche55c660.87$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.8789249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stars69c600$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.11,05442.5%448 W · 606 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche56c568$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.081,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1c…970fbacked Stars44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2802100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe3e0…1f21backed Stars43c499.97$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+101%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Avalanche56c435.37$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8121750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche56c381$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3672847.9%349 W · 379 L-1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Avalanche44c360.13$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1605648.2%27 W · 29 L+5.6wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+40.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Avalanche57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf457…d1a6backed Stars44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.918648.8%42 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Avalanche37c300$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11260042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Stars43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9974951.8%388 W · 361 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Avalanche56c293.85$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.5637847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars58c269.86$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.551,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Stars43c260$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.238844.6%173 W · 215 L-17.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Avalanche55c254.55$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Avalanche56c229.14$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3269550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8116…7239backed Stars44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2711144.1%49 W · 62 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Stars27c225$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.257245.8%33 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Avalanche31c225$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Avalanche56c223$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.883135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Avalanche39c218.1$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8914451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9195…72a4backed Stars48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3312742.5%54 W · 73 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Avalanche52c208.33$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.3334845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars45c206.72$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6963249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Stars52c205.1$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6133848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91f6…6156backed Avalanche58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Avalanche40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804942.9%21 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74b0…d410backed Stars42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-42.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Stars52c193.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2785148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked Stars56c189.55$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.665044%22 W · 28 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Avalanche56c177.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Avalanche40c173.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704015%6 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Stars44c173$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8887447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche57c167$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.191,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28a1…435cbacked Stars43c130$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.14348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Avalanche35c127.77$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.261330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Avalanche32c125.12$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402650%13 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc757…f18cbacked Stars54c111.58$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.584748.9%23 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Avalanche38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3826136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Stars42c99.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5819942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Stars43c99.99$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9943944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Stars44c99.72$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.347745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Stars52c96.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Avalanche56c95.26$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3575946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Stars48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3312649.2%62 W · 64 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Stars26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.9219033.7%64 W · 126 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Avalanche42c76$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9221245.8%97 W · 115 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Stars43c75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.756338.1%24 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x73b8…aa92backed Avalanche57c50.88$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2918144.8%81 W · 100 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x88d5…4bcbbacked Stars45c48.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+37.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Stars44c48.38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.097638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Stars42c48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8478038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x103f…5bb4backed Avalanche59c45.76$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2730%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Stars44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4569142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Stars44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.454450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Stars44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.454944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x580b…5461backed Avalanche56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf9…6cd8backed Stars68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.123135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Stars47c42.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.9240340.9%165 W · 238 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Stars42c35.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.643154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.8wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Stars39c35.46$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.7110949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54d7…322ebacked Avalanche57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88de…22f3backed Avalanche55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-44.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.