NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4211c1f8c82e4b9c6bdd62974a3d998715947022f9073db43b5c1b55a896e1b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $299,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Avalanche | 41c | 33,020$13,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,683.34 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Stars | 58c | 26,242$15,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,145.37 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Avalanche | 57c | 16,977$9,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,676.68 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Stars | 43c | 15,555$6,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,866.35 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked Stars | 71c | 13,887$9,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,093.61 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Avalanche | 55c | 13,044$7,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,205.32 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Avalanche | 57c | 8,783$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Avalanche | 42c | 6,559$2,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,774.91 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Avalanche | 43c | 5,461$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.92 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Stars | 67c | 4,551$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,491.09 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Stars | 43c | 4,500$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,565 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Stars | 56c | 4,097$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.48 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Stars | 49c | 3,862$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.79 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Stars | 49c | 3,848$1,886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,962.28 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Avalanche | 57c | 3,797$2,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,164.27 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Stars | 49c | 3,019$1,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,545.28 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283d…0dadbacked Avalanche | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Avalanche | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Stars | 50c | 1,978$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.81 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Stars | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Stars | 47c | 1,482$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.5 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche | 35c | 1,441$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.52 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Stars | 64c | 1,411$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Stars | 66c | 1,292$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.31 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Stars | 55c | 1,226$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.04 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1334…3c35backed Stars | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.36 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Avalanche | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…020bbacked Avalanche | 57c | 999.89$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Stars | 60c | 945$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Avalanche | 56c | 871.6$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.48 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Stars | 70c | 824$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Avalanche | 48c | 708$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.16 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Stars | 54c | 697.27$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.29 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Avalanche | 55c | 660.87$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.87 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stars | 69c | 600$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.1 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avalanche | 56c | 568$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.08 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…970fbacked Stars | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e0…1f21backed Stars | 43c | 499.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Avalanche | 56c | 435.37$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.81 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche | 56c | 381$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.36 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Avalanche | 44c | 360.13$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Avalanche | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf457…d1a6backed Stars | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.91 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7381…5b63backed Avalanche | 37c | 300$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 600 | 42.8%257 W · 343 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Stars | 43c | 299.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.99 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Avalanche | 56c | 293.85$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 58c | 269.86$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Stars | 43c | 260$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Avalanche | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Avalanche | 56c | 229.14$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Stars | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Stars | 27c | 225$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Avalanche | 31c | 225$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Avalanche | 56c | 223$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.88 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Avalanche | 39c | 218.1$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Stars | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Avalanche | 52c | 208.33$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 45c | 206.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.69 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Stars | 52c | 205.1$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.61 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91f6…6156backed Avalanche | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Avalanche | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b0…d410backed Stars | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Stars | 52c | 193.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.27 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Stars | 56c | 189.55$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Avalanche | 56c | 177.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Avalanche | 40c | 173.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stars | 44c | 173$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.88 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Avalanche | 57c | 167$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Stars | 43c | 130$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.1 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Avalanche | 35c | 127.77$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Avalanche | 32c | 125.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Stars | 54c | 111.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Avalanche | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Stars | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Stars | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.99 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Stars | 44c | 99.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.34 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Stars | 52c | 96.3$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Avalanche | 56c | 95.26$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.35 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Stars | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Stars | 44c | 80$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Stars | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 190 | 33.7%64 W · 126 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Avalanche | 42c | 76$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Stars | 43c | 75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Avalanche | 57c | 50.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88d5…4bcbbacked Stars | 45c | 48.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Stars | 44c | 48.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Stars | 42c | 48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…5bb4backed Avalanche | 59c | 45.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Stars | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Stars | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Stars | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x580b…5461backed Avalanche | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…6cd8backed Stars | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Stars | 47c | 42.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 403 | 40.9%165 W · 238 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…5543backed Stars | 42c | 35.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Stars | 39c | 35.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…322ebacked Avalanche | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…22f3backed Avalanche | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Avalanchethis page
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Stars won
- Stars vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.