TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Mavericksof Mavericks, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,823
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,864

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,823 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb230…4193backed Jazz36c21,610$7,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,794.1719351.3%99 W · 94 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mavericks64c12,982$8,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,696.7569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks62c12,065$7,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,567.312,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Jazz36c3,744$1,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,361.331,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Jazz14c2,500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc6…c936backed Mavericks64c2,090$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.1815547.1%73 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Mavericks67c1,954$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.172,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Jazz39c1,840$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.747751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbec…4042backed Jazz41c1,718$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Jazz40c1,567$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.93348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz39c1,504$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.671,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Jazz39c1,478$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.4512143%52 W · 69 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks63c1,425$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.199,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Jazz39c1,401$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.316934.8%24 W · 45 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb091…2017backed Mavericks60c1,169$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.6211755.6%65 W · 52 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Jazz36c1,120$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0126044.6%116 W · 144 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22dd…0fb3backed Jazz41c1,100$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks60c1,063$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.496,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz21c1,017$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.661,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Jazz10c980.89$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5814634.9%51 W · 95 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks79c979.16$774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.623,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Mavericks64c867$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.1224147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa216…179bbacked Mavericks64c805.28$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.94949%24 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz39c803.29$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.812,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz17c719.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.391,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Jazz33c605.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.724634.1%84 W · 162 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc174…66f2backed Mavericks76c526.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3213766.4%91 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Jazz38c520.27$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mavericks63c500$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2870153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Jazz38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19047748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed Mavericks62c445.74$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.3810769.2%74 W · 33 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick71cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1209…fa75backed Mavericks64c411.14$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.016943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x263b…cac0backed Mavericks64c405.63$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.031464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Jazz33c400.09$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.483250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd99…f375backed Mavericks66c400$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13838151.2%195 W · 186 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Jazz37c383.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0834645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Jazz38c368$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6359743.6%260 W · 337 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5be4…f39cbacked Jazz30c358.76$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.471650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Mavericks61c351.08$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Mavericks74c349.57$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.651,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Jazz39c338.46$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13258951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz6c329$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.741,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5340…5e2bbacked Jazz38c321.97$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.76048.3%29 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84b8…1193backed Mavericks60c320.67$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.2734942.7%149 W · 200 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Jazz9c303.53$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4566732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Mavericks66c300$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10211245.5%51 W · 61 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Jazz38c287$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.576851.5%35 W · 33 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+22.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Jazz40c277.47$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.863,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Jazz40c256$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.41833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc41e…2dfcbacked Jazz34c250$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8520847.6%99 W · 109 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Jazz18c249.67$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4419419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Mavericks65c246.15$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1534747%163 W · 184 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Mavericks67c220$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.61,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0554…6f0bbacked Jazz40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-64.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3491…9f33backed Mavericks62c200$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+39.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x107d…7e3dbacked Mavericks61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Mavericks66c199.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681,19846.8%561 W · 637 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e17…e4d4backed Mavericks62c191.64$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.6416061.3%98 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Mavericks59c181.36$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3639051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a3…32d4backed Jazz40c175$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…bdafbacked Jazz8c164.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.163053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Jazz40c138.97$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5912050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc140…ac80backed Mavericks67c133.35$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3514947%70 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3575…8af2backed Jazz39c120.26$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.461136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8354…b291backed Mavericks62c120.16$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.662060%12 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+42.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x58df…c720backed Jazz39c120.08$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.83825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jazz40c114.78$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d1…fc97backed Jazz20c105.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.024440.9%18 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbcad…5078backed Jazz30c104.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.254052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jazz38c102.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.332,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34d4…8304backed Mavericks61c101.48$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.58837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Jazz21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2139435.3%139 W · 255 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Mavericks58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4232041.9%134 W · 186 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcae0…79eebacked Mavericks67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba9…59cbbacked Jazz33c99.98$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd30…327dbacked Jazz40c99.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.08450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72b7…e360backed Mavericks70c99.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8225945.6%118 W · 141 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ca…0672backed Jazz41c92.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.968648.8%42 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd263…54a7backed Jazz40c92.59$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.048551.8%44 W · 41 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc368…0622backed Mavericks69c86.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4915140.4%61 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x687a…f04cbacked Jazz30c85.85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.762737%10 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5937…cc97backed Mavericks60c82.72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.726357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Mavericks61c80$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.535050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf634…dc67backed Jazz39c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.51050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x523c…5348backed Jazz31c76.92$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.853834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8f…76f5backed Mavericks59c69.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6413339.8%53 W · 80 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Jazz27c69.24$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.691,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa188…3fccbacked Mavericks61c64.32$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3236356.5%205 W · 158 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf913…5543backed Jazz35c63.43$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.074163.4%26 W · 15 L+8.4wins+0.20per pick43cpaid+44.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Jazz33c61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1352240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8657…5741backed Jazz34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025243.7%110 W · 142 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x992e…245fbacked Mavericks72c55.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.43875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5807…cd4fbacked Mavericks61c54.69$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2477…242abacked Jazz37c54.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.21per pick40cpaid-72.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x85ef…2f40backed Jazz39c54.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.161010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-69.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x934f…5bd8backed Jazz27c52.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1318450.5%93 W · 91 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Jazz47c52.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6320349.3%100 W · 103 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6872…40d1backed Jazz20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…ca3ebacked Mavericks64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185735.1%20 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8756…843ebacked Mavericks60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+39.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.