College Football · resolved market
Iowa vs. Wisconsin Badgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31bcf1cfd72d9d8509cef33dcadbe50cb7e56e2ebbb6d66df44fe3bd4b3c5a80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowaof Iowa, Wisconsin Badgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $141,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Iowa | 66c | 55,310$36,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,730.99 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 33c | 52,843$17,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,466.71 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Wisconsin Badgers | 34c | 19,952$6,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,768.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Iowa | 60c | 15,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Wisconsin Badgers | 40c | 13,208$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.35 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Iowa | 66c | 12,500$8,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,225 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 34c | 9,295$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.24 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Wisconsin Badgers | 38c | 8,352$3,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.88 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Iowa | 62c | 4,737$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,792.89 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Wisconsin Badgers | 15c | 3,778$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.35 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Iowa | 64c | 2,789$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.64 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa | 62c | 2,783$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.34 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Wisconsin Badgers | 37c | 2,500$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 37c | 2,483$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918.78 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 40c | 2,361$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.03 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Iowa | 64c | 2,237$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.14 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Wisconsin Badgers | 37c | 2,124$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$788.78 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa | 60c | 1,627$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.44 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Wisconsin Badgers | 40c | 1,353$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.2 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Wisconsin Badgers | 33c | 1,185$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.97 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Iowa | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Wisconsin Badgers | 20c | 838.43$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.53 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Iowa | 66c | 691.99$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.96 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Iowa | 59c | 672.18$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.59 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Iowa | 74c | 621.28$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.13 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Iowa | 60c | 600$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Iowa | 60c | 590.13$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 17c | 589.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…a8e0backed Wisconsin Badgers | 36c | 550$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Wisconsin Badgers | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…3339backed Wisconsin Badgers | 36c | 400$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 38c | 386$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Wisconsin Badgers | 33c | 358$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x437b…0ba4backed Iowa | 61c | 327$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.53 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Iowa | 75c | 275.09$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Iowa | 59c | 240.25$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 234.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.15 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 228.78$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Iowa | 73c | 212.42$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…6ce2backed Wisconsin Badgers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Wisconsin Badgers | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Iowa | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Iowa | 80c | 153.3$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 35c | 140$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.4 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 136$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iowa | 76c | 131.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Wisconsin Badgers | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Wisconsin Badgers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.1 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…faa8backed Wisconsin Badgers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Wisconsin Badgers | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Wisconsin Badgers | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Iowa | 68c | 89.6$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Iowa | 60c | 83.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Wisconsin Badgers | 21c | 83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 224 | 4%9 W · 215 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 82.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Iowa | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Wisconsin Badgers | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Iowa | 69c | 72.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Wisconsin Badgers | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Iowa | 63c | 59$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x692f…7c55backed Iowa | 65c | 50.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Wisconsin Badgers | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…647bbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc757…f18cbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Wisconsin Badgers | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…4769backed Iowa | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…8e0ebacked Iowa | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439a…76d9backed Iowa | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…2dd1backed Iowa | 65c | 28.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Wisconsin Badgers | 42c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Iowa | 67c | 23.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa vs. Wisconsin Badgersthis page
- Iowa vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 35.5Over won
- Spread: Iowa (-3.5)Iowa won
- Spread: Iowa (-4.5)Iowa won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.