College Football · resolved market
Arizona State vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8446b11ddcb2707ea46676c009f2166bd0303b310d5077cce47c9d443ef77bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Arizona State, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,509,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,500,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,509,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Arizona State | 27c | 1,197,026$320,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320,983.9 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Utah | 73c | 321,890$235,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,916.8 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Utah | 73c | 200,000$145,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,000 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Utah | 73c | 164,443$120,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,644.06 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Utah | 73c | 105,867$77,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,512.83 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah | 73c | 84,692$61,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,917.48 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Utah | 74c | 52,563$38,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,647.75 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Utah | 74c | 48,383$35,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,545.75 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Utah | 73c | 40,000$29,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,800 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona State | 23c | 39,940$9,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,045.58 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Utah | 74c | 37,238$27,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,684.83 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Arizona State | 14c | 24,517$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,410 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Utah | 74c | 24,000$17,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea18…3cbebacked Utah | 75c | 23,606$17,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,931.3 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…8bf2backed Utah | 74c | 20,000$14,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Utah | 76c | 19,954$15,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788.95 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 73c | 19,896$14,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.09 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Arizona State | 24c | 17,490$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.61 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Utah | 74c | 17,104$12,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.04 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah | 73c | 14,000$10,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,780 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561f…a932backed Arizona State | 2c | 13,147$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.3 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Utah | 73c | 10,318$7,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,785.86 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Utah | 73c | 7,500$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Utah | 74c | 4,710$3,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.72 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Utah | 73c | 4,000$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Utah | 76c | 3,421$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.18 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Arizona State | 13c | 3,322$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Utah | 73c | 2,961$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.47 | 176 | 55.1%97 W · 79 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arizona State | 32c | 2,826$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.22 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Utah | 74c | 2,763$2,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.29 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona State | 22c | 2,750$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.12 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Utah | 72c | 2,609$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.64 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Arizona State | 23c | 2,574$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.92 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Utah | 73c | 2,258$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.56 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Arizona State | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Arizona State | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Arizona State | 26c | 1,928$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc93a…8b69backed Arizona State | 10c | 1,800$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Arizona State | 26c | 1,650$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Arizona State | 6c | 1,500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Utah | 78c | 1,326$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.5 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Utah | 75c | 1,012$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.98 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9915…3704backed Arizona State | 27c | 999.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Arizona State | 26c | 947.05$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Utah | 73c | 823.85$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.87 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arizona State | 22c | 701$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.82 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd0…4e15backed Arizona State | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4150…d0ebbacked Arizona State | 27c | 622.22$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Utah | 73c | 599.99$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Arizona State | 28c | 595.7$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.96 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…05e0backed Arizona State | 26c | 577.6$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Arizona State | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…f264backed Arizona State | 27c | 544.22$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Arizona State | 27c | 449.46$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.07 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddfe…c5a6backed Arizona State | 29c | 413.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Utah | 76c | 413.25$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec4…0638backed Arizona State | 10c | 405$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Arizona State | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Arizona State | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Utah | 74c | 380.6$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Arizona State | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Utah | 73c | 349$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.23 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Arizona State | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Arizona State | 26c | 253.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.92 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…ca0cbacked Utah | 73c | 250$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Arizona State | 26c | 250$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah | 74c | 240.14$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Utah | 75c | 226.51$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.63 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed Utah | 74c | 225$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Arizona State | 26c | 212.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…e6fdbacked Arizona State | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Arizona State | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3044…834bbacked Arizona State | 28c | 188.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…435cbacked Utah | 74c | 180$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Arizona State | 13c | 150$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…a572backed Utah | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Utah | 76c | 145.26$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Utah | 74c | 145$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…439cbacked Utah | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307f…ed8dbacked Utah | 75c | 108.62$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Arizona State | 27c | 108$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Arizona State | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Arizona State | 25c | 102$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Utah | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Arizona State | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Arizona State | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…b015backed Arizona State | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Utah | 76c | 99.6$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 68 | 69.1%47 W · 21 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf36…94e8backed Utah | 76c | 95.75$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Arizona State | 31c | 92.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Utah | 76c | 81.58$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Arizona State | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…d532backed Utah | 73c | 80$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Arizona State | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…76dfbacked Arizona State | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2edc…4a7abacked Utah | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Arizona State | 29c | 68.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Utah | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Arizona State | 19c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec75…2e8fbacked Utah | 74c | 55.85$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona State vs. Utahthis page
- Arizona State vs. Utah: O/U 44.5Over won
- Arizona State vs. Utah: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: Utah (-7.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-8.5)Utah won
- Spread: Utah (-9.5)Utah won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.