TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canadiens vs. Blackhawks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Canadiensof Canadiens, Blackhawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,794
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$186,994

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,794 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9b3d…7422backed Canadiens61c107,456$65,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,234.3914057.9%81 W · 59 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Blackhawks40c56,887$22,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,918.099340.9%38 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Blackhawks39c35,921$14,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,009.3216743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Blackhawks42c15,000$6,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,25042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks46c12,973$5,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,921.231,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Blackhawks38c11,768$4,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,483.1140550.9%206 W · 199 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens54c11,161$6,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,093.421,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2131…aaf2backed Canadiens59c9,098$5,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,730.115253.8%28 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Canadiens59c7,500$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0756737.3%25 W · 42 L-9.5wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Blackhawks39c5,021$1,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,953.789149.5%45 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens59c4,000$2,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6401,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Canadiens59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,43589547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Canadiens56c3,284$1,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.8469550.1%348 W · 347 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Blackhawks40c3,053$1,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,226.5551044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03cd…9fdabacked Blackhawks41c2,922$1,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.022626.9%7 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Blackhawks44c2,912$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.342,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Blackhawks40c2,819$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.657453.8%309 W · 265 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Blackhawks41c2,177$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.511,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Canadiens55c2,100$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9482835.7%10 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks41c2,033$834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$833.6864242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Blackhawks40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf8df…2521backed Canadiens59c1,910$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783.062857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Blackhawks41c1,720$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.233837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Canadiens58c1,659$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.4337847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens71c1,442$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.211,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Canadiens55c1,400$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63034845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blackhawks40c1,388$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.5463249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks42c1,322$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.221,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Canadiens56c1,200$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5345040%20 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Canadiens57c1,065$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.891,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Blackhawks39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39014447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42070249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Blackhawks41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41054349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a32…6d7ebacked Blackhawks39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Canadiens58c876.88$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.291,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Blackhawks39c836.81$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.6187447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e1…50aabacked Blackhawks29c751.04$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3510565.7%69 W · 36 L+15.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+35.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbffc…1f45backed Blackhawks39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.521750.2%109 W · 108 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ea9…e3c0backed Canadiens58c750$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3155240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xedae…584fbacked Blackhawks39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2342040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b8a…d4d8backed Canadiens59c508.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.473250%16 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb7c…8eabbacked Canadiens63c476.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1911245.5%51 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce54…90bcbacked Canadiens61c438.52$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c2…2b13backed Blackhawks40c438.35$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.342638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-22%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Canadiens61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8721255.7%118 W · 94 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d0f…4faabacked Blackhawks40c302.3$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.924944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbf6…513abacked Canadiens56c300$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.54634.8%16 W · 30 L-6.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Canadiens57c250.88$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8820147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens60c250.51$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.578740.2%35 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Blackhawks40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56db…171cbacked Blackhawks41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008360.2%50 W · 33 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Canadiens56c221.94$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.6589249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Blackhawks40c198.61$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4415646.2%72 W · 84 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7381…5b63backed Blackhawks45c185.42$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6260042.8%257 W · 343 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0111…0463backed Canadiens60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6723140.3%93 W · 138 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Blackhawks40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Canadiens58c124$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.081,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5693…71fdbacked Canadiens60c116.67$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.672653.8%14 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Canadiens59c114$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.741,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x831a…d532backed Blackhawks22c112$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.985431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc26d…63f2backed Blackhawks27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304015%6 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-51.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Canadiens58c107.24$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0485148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens57c103$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.261,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Blackhawks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4126136%94 W · 167 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Blackhawks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4117644.9%79 W · 97 L-12.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Canadiens58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4238857.2%222 W · 166 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Blackhawks41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4119942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Blackhawks41c99.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9943944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Blackhawks37c94.52$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.371,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133b…faa8backed Blackhawks42c94.39$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.647745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35c5…e14bbacked Canadiens61c82.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1512744.9%57 W · 70 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fec…c965backed Blackhawks40c80.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.231330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Blackhawks42c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.61,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked Blackhawks39c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.258740.2%35 W · 52 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Blackhawks44c73.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4176450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ba…2eb2backed Canadiens59c73.22$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.02366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c3…09a6backed Blackhawks42c73.12$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.71333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Blackhawks42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9734…4617backed Canadiens57c69.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6143456%243 W · 191 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15cc…7f61backed Canadiens56c65.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.92245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b1…979abacked Blackhawks42c62.29$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.167454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed Canadiens58c58.21$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.556346%29 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Blackhawks38c57.76$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6910949.5%54 W · 55 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Canadiens61c57.38$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3843256.5%244 W · 188 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Blackhawks34c56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1915560%93 W · 62 L+13.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Blackhawks40c50.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.284753.2%25 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc6b…d720backed Canadiens60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015651.9%81 W · 75 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…2cfdbacked Canadiens60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fbc…3099backed Blackhawks40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Blackhawks40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9e7…af6bbacked Blackhawks40c49.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7247845.8%219 W · 259 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Blackhawks41c49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0978038.5%300 W · 480 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8116…7239backed Blackhawks41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011144.1%49 W · 62 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xed89…647bbacked Blackhawks42c46.05$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.347638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Blackhawks44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2069142.8%296 W · 395 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x580b…5461backed Canadiens56c44.64$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Blackhawks41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.441847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed Blackhawks42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.82839.3%11 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7879…4345backed Blackhawks40c39.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.617447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Canadiens56c38.22$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8212250.8%62 W · 60 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.