Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b3bab6d2952159f9df7d427acc852645910c15bcfe3e64d41496c224f03d318
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,632
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 13c | 22,239$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.59 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Yes | 14c | 8,500$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.3 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 14c | 3,122$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.36 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 14c | 1,668$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.78 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 16c | 1,287$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 12c | 1,028$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 866.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes | 13c | 849.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.5 | 403 | 43.7%176 W · 227 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…ac8ebacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 6c | 378.72$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4d…c525backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 20%34 W · 136 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…69ccbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 14c | 325.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2f3…9531backed Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 14c | 249.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8313…40c3backed Yes | 14c | 207.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed Yes | 15c | 202.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 80 | 25%20 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951a…8c9dbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…da66backed Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…5f26backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 10c | 178.11$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes | 15c | 163.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 250 | 31.6%79 W · 171 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x786d…b89bbacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 522 | 17.4%91 W · 431 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 12c | 140.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…b161backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 11.9%8 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 77 | 20.8%16 W · 61 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…90ebbacked Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…49e2backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5022…2b5dbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…3e3cbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6252…da1dbacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dc…cdfdbacked Yes | 15c | 89.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…5c13backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…6686backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab5…bc89backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 152 | 9.2%14 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 1 Tunisia?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Sweden 0 - 0 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 0 - 1 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 0 - 2 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 0 - 3 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 3 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 1 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 2 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 3 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 0 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 2 Tunisia?No won
- Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 3 Tunisia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.