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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. CSUN Matadors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
CSUN Matadorsof Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, CSUN Matadors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,940

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xada5…db70backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors60c23,273$14,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,066.2237947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6a3…2f0dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors61c20,170$12,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,266.471346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed CSUN Matadors40c18,459$7,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,075.3919950.3%100 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors5c15,973$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766.1916350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked CSUN Matadors41c15,832$6,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,360.755,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked CSUN Matadors39c7,000$2,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2705160.8%31 W · 20 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors24c5,532$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.3614151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors60c5,033$3,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.141,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked CSUN Matadors40c5,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00018349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked CSUN Matadors40c1,970$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.9512,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed CSUN Matadors39c1,364$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.2774649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed CSUN Matadors45c1,250$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.561652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors50c1,102$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.312,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors60c995.91$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.7811747.9%56 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors53c629.53$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.753,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed CSUN Matadors73c625.29$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1703,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors26c607.13$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.352540%10 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed CSUN Matadors39c544.81$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.271,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked CSUN Matadors41c506$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.6581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed CSUN Matadors40c493.8$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick55cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f19…ec51backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors34c461$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6122050.5%111 W · 109 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked CSUN Matadors40c445.95$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.454,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked CSUN Matadors61c395.65$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.684,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors43c369.28$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.1568254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors31c330.35$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.111926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked CSUN Matadors39c300$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18311046.4%51 W · 59 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked CSUN Matadors46c286.11$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.081,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed CSUN Matadors72c278.63$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.632556%14 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed CSUN Matadors40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1507454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked CSUN Matadors44c199.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed CSUN Matadors39c197$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors60c166.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors49c159.51$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8138343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed CSUN Matadors53c152.64$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.262,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked CSUN Matadors39c150$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.520452.9%108 W · 96 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed CSUN Matadors45c150$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.59258.7%54 W · 38 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed CSUN Matadors42c142.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.861,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors49c140.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.981,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0828…3851backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors29c129.8$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.952839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed CSUN Matadors68c129.25$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1213845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors19c127.89$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244037.5%15 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors52c126.47$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.763652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked CSUN Matadors40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7518851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a64…6769backed CSUN Matadors40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7517950.8%91 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked CSUN Matadors43c116.27$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.274,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed CSUN Matadors71c110.01$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.71,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed CSUN Matadors80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2064658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked CSUN Matadors39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6225254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5939…9b1dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked CSUN Matadors44c99.96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.981,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0373…6d6bbacked CSUN Matadors39c90$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.910652.8%56 W · 50 L+9.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed CSUN Matadors39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9221152.1%110 W · 101 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7540…9827backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors62c72.58$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452642.3%11 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked CSUN Matadors57c70.18$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.188460.7%51 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors35c66.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.211,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors53c62.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8220248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.616551.5%85 W · 80 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked CSUN Matadors41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.41,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors62c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8752353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed CSUN Matadors52c49.61$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0694036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors63c49$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.871,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked CSUN Matadors33c44.77$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3022730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors52c42$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.021,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors49c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.111,00355.3%555 W · 448 L+46.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors57c38.67$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223363.9%149 W · 84 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed CSUN Matadors38c35$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.814930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors67c34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6835852%186 W · 172 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked CSUN Matadors48c31.46$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.461457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked CSUN Matadors54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.786747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…d1e7backed CSUN Matadors40c26.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.8418230.8%56 W · 126 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca8…6894backed CSUN Matadors39c26$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.862138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked CSUN Matadors73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.410095%95 W · 5 L+21.3wins+0.21per pick74cpaid+29.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x58e0…be18backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48664%55 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors57c19.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…e4abbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors51c19.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.062231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x51ff…cf90backed CSUN Matadors80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed CSUN Matadors73c15.55$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.181,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.