Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pride
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7b5ca945f725877161cca5bed196d07a93499f1828bd9251ca903693cc69dbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hofstra Prideof Monmouth Hawks, Hofstra Pride
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,307 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Monmouth Hawks | 48c | 5,814$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.79 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Hofstra Pride | 54c | 5,376$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,481.81 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Hofstra Pride | 59c | 2,971$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.24 | 189 | 54.5%103 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Monmouth Hawks | 41c | 2,232$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.43 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Hofstra Pride | 72c | 1,547$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.26 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hofstra Pride | 60c | 1,534$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.42 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 36c | 1,344$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.86 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Monmouth Hawks | 37c | 1,190$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.38 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hofstra Pride | 63c | 799.8$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee76…e67abacked Hofstra Pride | 65c | 458.3$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.69 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Monmouth Hawks | 47c | 448.73$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 15c | 428.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Hofstra Pride | 57c | 380.49$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Monmouth Hawks | 45c | 329.83$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.7 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Monmouth Hawks | 44c | 321.71$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Monmouth Hawks | 27c | 311.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Monmouth Hawks | 46c | 297.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Monmouth Hawks | 37c | 287.64$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.98 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Hofstra Pride | 62c | 225.34$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 193.27$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.64 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Monmouth Hawks | 39c | 146.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.31 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Monmouth Hawks | 37c | 107.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Monmouth Hawks | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Hofstra Pride | 53c | 78.75$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 37c | 78.36$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.99 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Hofstra Pride | 65c | 78.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Monmouth Hawks | 40c | 70.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Monmouth Hawks | 30c | 66.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Monmouth Hawks | 37c | 53.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Hofstra Pride | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Monmouth Hawks | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Monmouth Hawks | 45c | 49.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monmouth Hawks | 36c | 44.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Monmouth Hawks | 46c | 43.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monmouth Hawks | 36c | 42.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Hofstra Pride | 65c | 39.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Monmouth Hawks | 37c | 31.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Hofstra Pride | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hofstra Pride | 64c | 24.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Hofstra Pride | 56c | 21.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Hofstra Pride | 75c | 20.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked Hofstra Pride | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra Pridethis page
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-4.5)Hofstra Pride won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.