Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Hofstra Pride (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xead69a459035a60182fba63d8126359d6c2d3e731dd4a0adf34682ebc070472d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hofstra Prideof Hofstra Pride, Monmouth Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,281
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,281 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Hofstra Pride | 51c | 37,594$18,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,604.63 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Monmouth Hawks | 49c | 17,503$8,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,567.23 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd36…6ec9backed Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 16,611$8,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,305.68 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 1,536$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 1,036$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.15 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 561.85$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…7defbacked Hofstra Pride | 37c | 499.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Monmouth Hawks | 61c | 465.08$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.18 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 148.68$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 128.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Hofstra Pride | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Monmouth Hawks | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Hofstra Pride | 50c | 87.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.62 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Monmouth Hawks | 64c | 69.54$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Hofstra Pride | 56c | 63.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Monmouth Hawks | 42c | 52.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Hofstra Pride | 46c | 45.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Hofstra Pride | 52c | 27.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Monmouth Hawks | 51c | 22.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Monmouth Hawks | 50c | 21.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Hofstra Pride (-4.5)this page
- Monmouth Hawks vs. Hofstra PrideHofstra Pride won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.