NHL · resolved market
SHL: Brynaes vs. HV 71
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56962c7459f81eb80d7fc9c4ecd96687870c6eb4d142da9a73afc482bbdf0094
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HV 71of Brynaes, HV 71
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brynaes | 80c | 1,026$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.56 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Brynaes | 76c | 955.2$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.51 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked HV 71 | 20c | 946.83$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.46 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed HV 71 | 24c | 840$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed HV 71 | 25c | 640$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa5…4f56backed Brynaes | 76c | 525.81$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Brynaes | 75c | 329.64$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.23 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa08b…b260backed Brynaes | 76c | 279$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked HV 71 | 24c | 207.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…8917backed Brynaes | 76c | 200.87$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked HV 71 | 22c | 179.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed HV 71 | 29c | 165.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.23 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed HV 71 | 25c | 134.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.28 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Brynaes | 76c | 98.68$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked HV 71 | 24c | 75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Brynaes | 76c | 69.47$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed HV 71 | 21c | 60.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Brynaes | 76c | 59.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Brynaes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Brynaes | 76c | 37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Brynaes | 77c | 29.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed HV 71 | 67c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Brynaes | 76c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Brynaes | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.