NHL · resolved market
AHL: San Jose Barracuda vs. Milwaukee Admirals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8ec383aa7ff8e06077fba9692cac7649860ed58a15564f31a06978469bd4ef74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Jose Barracudaof San Jose Barracuda, Milwaukee Admirals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,393 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed San Jose Barracuda | 55c | 9,080$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.53 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 7,000$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 813.14$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +95%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 513.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.37 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 206.52$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.87 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x701f…9b8fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 206.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 205.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e7…7bd5backed Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 189.13$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb15…92b6backed Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 171.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc4…8358backed Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 169$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked San Jose Barracuda | 55c | 115.51$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.98 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Milwaukee Admirals | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 181 | 43.1%78 W · 103 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 79.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 41c | 79.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.87 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…3b13backed San Jose Barracuda | 58c | 78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81dc…fb27backed San Jose Barracuda | 58c | 67$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.52 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 61.35$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked Milwaukee Admirals | 46c | 55.8$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 104 | 39.4%41 W · 63 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf907…6789backed San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 44.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaccf…e19ebacked San Jose Barracuda | 58c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 39.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked San Jose Barracuda | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4046…cdb1backed San Jose Barracuda | 58c | 31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Milwaukee Admirals | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed San Jose Barracuda | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked San Jose Barracuda | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…009fbacked San Jose Barracuda | 56c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6188…3373backed San Jose Barracuda | 58c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed San Jose Barracuda | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.