Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pacific Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5642f1603b05dcfd181b2066c9efd1283ed59d5947d2b65e5022b541a842b450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacific Tigersof Loyola Marymount Lions, Pacific Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4090…3e81backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Pacific Tigers | 63c | 1,278$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.2 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pacific Tigers | 76c | 1,117$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 31c | 970$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.7 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 44c | 848.62$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.18 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Pacific Tigers | 70c | 838$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.78 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 30c | 812$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.6 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Pacific Tigers | 75c | 732.53$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.16 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pacific Tigers | 64c | 691.45$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.77 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pacific Tigers | 68c | 626.44$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Pacific Tigers | 69c | 499.91$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pacific Tigers | 40c | 475.97$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.78 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Pacific Tigers | 55c | 343.73$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.68 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Pacific Tigers | 63c | 258$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.46 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 54c | 205$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.15 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 19c | 184.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Pacific Tigers | 78c | 184.91$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 27c | 168.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 37c | 166.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 13c | 142.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Pacific Tigers | 56c | 105.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pacific Tigers | 57c | 104.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 40c | 94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Pacific Tigers | 69c | 88.46$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 49c | 83.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Pacific Tigers | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Pacific Tigers | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 25c | 50.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pacific Tigers | 75c | 48.29$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…0821backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 61c | 48.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…75c6backed Pacific Tigers | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pacific Tigers | 59c | 37.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Pacific Tigers | 66c | 31.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Pacific Tigers | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Pacific Tigers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 54c | 26.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Loyola Marymount Lions | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Pacific Tigers | 53c | 22.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Loyola Marymount Lions | 59c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pacific Tigersthis page
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pacific Tigers: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: Pacific Tigers (-5.5)Pacific Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.