Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pacific Tigers: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9bff94c6ecba7619d1d00e53eae5be62589215c764bdf73dba0e70d54661e17e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,205
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 51c | 46,255$23,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,589.82 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…abb9backed Under | 45c | 40,002$18,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,001.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fc…4ce5backed Over | 55c | 21,740$11,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,956.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Under | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,200 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9391…1421backed Over | 55c | 18,263$10,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,044.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Under | 49c | 12,943$6,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,601.12 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 3,061$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.22 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Under | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 426$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 331.71$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.32 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under | 49c | 300.02$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.01 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Under | 49c | 279.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.79 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ac80backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…06acbacked Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 273 | 50.5%138 W · 135 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81bb…8544backed Under | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pacific Tigers: O/U 140.5this page
- Loyola Marymount Lions vs. Pacific TigersPacific Tigers won
- Spread: Pacific Tigers (-5.5)Pacific Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.