Olympics · resolved market
Women's Group A - Finland vs. Switzerland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6aa1922fc599666738a35efd90c4eaa51433379118057bd07f69b727618c793
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Finlandof Finland, Switzerland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Switzerland | 0c | 11,288$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Finland | 72c | 10,616$7,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.82 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Switzerland | 28c | 5,130$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.1 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Switzerland | 26c | 2,386$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.22 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Finland | 66c | 1,219$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.93 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Switzerland | 27c | 1,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Switzerland | 30c | 942.45$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.73 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Switzerland | 28c | 906.8$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.19 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Switzerland | 35c | 766$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.7 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Switzerland | 29c | 642.06$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…010dbacked Finland | 70c | 638.72$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Switzerland | 29c | 634.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Finland | 70c | 603.13$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.97 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Switzerland | 34c | 551$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Switzerland | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Switzerland | 36c | 379$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.95 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Finland | 67c | 375$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Switzerland | 29c | 351.48$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Switzerland | 13c | 312.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1c…fb66backed Finland | 70c | 254.6$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Switzerland | 11c | 254.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Switzerland | 28c | 243.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.67 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Switzerland | 30c | 212.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Finland | 66c | 208.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Switzerland | 31c | 201.35$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Finland | 66c | 197.9$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…721cbacked Switzerland | 28c | 188.82$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Finland | 72c | 127.54$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Switzerland | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc226…497dbacked Finland | 70c | 117.94$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Finland | 63c | 108$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.3 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f56…9302backed Switzerland | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Switzerland | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Switzerland | 29c | 94.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Switzerland | 36c | 87.93$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Switzerland | 29c | 85.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Finland | 70c | 84.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Switzerland | 33c | 75.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Switzerland | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Switzerland | 30c | 63.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed Switzerland | 32c | 63.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x512a…0b6ebacked Switzerland | 32c | 61.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Finland | 76c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…c36abacked Finland | 64c | 59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…9d1ebacked Finland | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Switzerland | 28c | 51.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Switzerland | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Switzerland | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Finland | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x007c…82fdbacked Finland | 69c | 38.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Finland | 79c | 36.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Finland | 70c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…bbd7backed Switzerland | 32c | 31.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Finland | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Finland | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…f0c8backed Finland | 69c | 29.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Finland | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9a…876bbacked Switzerland | 36c | 28.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…5d12backed Finland | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…9096backed Finland | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed Finland | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Finland | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd67a…304cbacked Finland | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bd…8deabacked Finland | 70c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed Finland | 71c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68bc…ef05backed Finland | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9af9…89bcbacked Finland | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5d…be79backed Finland | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.