TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, Baylor Bears
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$158,027
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$176,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $158,027 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf152…64aabacked BYU Cougars61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,70012364.2%79 W · 44 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Baylor Bears39c29,724$11,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,592.4374649.2%367 W · 379 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Baylor Bears43c12,364$5,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,315.85,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x306c…51f2backed Baylor Bears0c10,631$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205341.5%22 W · 31 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-38.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x313d…4b1abacked BYU Cougars61c8,019$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,127.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+38.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed BYU Cougars64c5,727$3,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,056.419444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6a6…a6d3backed BYU Cougars69c4,464$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,392.642871.4%20 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed BYU Cougars53c4,405$2,342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.7624444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Baylor Bears38c4,200$1,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.322,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Baylor Bears39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56011347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed BYU Cougars60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60014647.9%70 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Baylor Bears42c2,808$1,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,191.782,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed BYU Cougars64c2,751$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.652,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Baylor Bears39c2,737$1,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,067.431,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked BYU Cougars62c2,704$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.911,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Baylor Bears18c2,634$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.091,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Baylor Bears33c2,600$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$868.111,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked BYU Cougars62c2,555$1,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.896043.3%26 W · 34 L-6.3wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Baylor Bears38c2,550$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96989850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed BYU Cougars62c2,493$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.4613735%48 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed BYU Cougars61c2,456$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.251,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Baylor Bears43c2,236$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.252,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed BYU Cougars60c2,101$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.033,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked BYU Cougars48c2,024$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,052.8861446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb2f…936abacked BYU Cougars62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7601050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Baylor Bears39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7807337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Baylor Bears22c1,585$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.557844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Baylor Bears38c1,577$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.2736944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Baylor Bears38c1,411$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.9321646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec06…9d24backed BYU Cougars61c1,347$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed BYU Cougars37c1,223$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.112,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Baylor Bears44c1,156$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.3999848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Baylor Bears40c1,101$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9725946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Baylor Bears12c1,100$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1321811.1%2 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed BYU Cougars50c1,046$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7919641.8%82 W · 114 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Baylor Bears19c1,040$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.621,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…b20ebacked Baylor Bears41c1,001$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed BYU Cougars59c1,000$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4155160.8%31 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1279…ff3ebacked Baylor Bears41c984$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Baylor Bears39c820.51$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32079448.9%388 W · 406 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Baylor Bears36c793.39$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.6222953.7%123 W · 106 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Baylor Bears44c757.25$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.7168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed BYU Cougars31c701.87$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.295349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked BYU Cougars62c670.66$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.5637142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Baylor Bears39c600$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23482048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2934…a7b9backed BYU Cougars59c501$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…b768backed BYU Cougars59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x437c…7449backed BYU Cougars59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4686…4d0ebacked BYU Cougars59c484$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa632…4c96backed Baylor Bears39c480$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.256444.1%249 W · 315 L+2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Baylor Bears41c470$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.774152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Baylor Bears34c455.92$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.12,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Baylor Bears43c435.77$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.8355840.3%225 W · 333 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Baylor Bears39c407.69$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15924847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baylor Bears34c407.6$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.975,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Baylor Bears36c402.22$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.841,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aae…d563backed BYU Cougars59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1642860.7%17 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Baylor Bears38c395$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.150745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed BYU Cougars62c377.36$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4744549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Baylor Bears38c375.67$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7550548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a9…e73abacked Baylor Bears41c365.52$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.8626749.1%131 W · 136 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Baylor Bears40c331$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2419138.2%73 W · 118 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked BYU Cougars61c327.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Baylor Bears53c323.98$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.064,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked BYU Cougars31c317.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.541,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f22…55f7backed BYU Cougars65c306.1$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.14544.4%20 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked BYU Cougars63c300$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.414151.1%72 W · 69 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Baylor Bears15c299.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4542934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Baylor Bears37c295.43$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8699045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked BYU Cougars58c260.1$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.1887047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Baylor Bears39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003650%18 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Baylor Bears39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1a8…1b66backed Baylor Bears39c250$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.521050%105 W · 105 L+0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed BYU Cougars52c233.45$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.249545.3%43 W · 52 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Baylor Bears38c221.95$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.314,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd22…e478backed BYU Cougars61c211.82$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears37c208.42$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Baylor Bears38c206.31$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.424340.7%99 W · 144 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Baylor Bears60c203.98$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.873,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0cfc…cfdabacked BYU Cougars60c201$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Baylor Bears40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Baylor Bears39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7821449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed BYU Cougars60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8035243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21e7…c843backed Baylor Bears40c194$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Baylor Bears39c189.29$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9237835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84c…2c56backed Baylor Bears55c186.65$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.56728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed BYU Cougars62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2913561.5%83 W · 52 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3be6…05b1backed BYU Cougars62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294257.1%24 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+34.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed BYU Cougars62c161.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1648462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6809…b188backed BYU Cougars63c157.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.52962.1%18 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick72cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcada…8543backed BYU Cougars64c157.01$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Baylor Bears38c151$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.081,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0fd…642cbacked BYU Cougars60c149.97$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.991172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fea8backed BYU Cougars48c147.05$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.054658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Baylor Bears40c145$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5840755.8%227 W · 180 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Baylor Bears36c143.54$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.677145.1%32 W · 39 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Baylor Bears39c139.97$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5992246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ff…38f5backed Baylor Bears37c139.1$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1a9…d58bbacked BYU Cougars38c134.03$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.11936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b5f…fbfebacked BYU Cougars63c133$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.21650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.