Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: BYU Cougars (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e42739c2cbe955bca3cedeb2f20f213cf155819148fdf8306351e79893d6ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYU Cougarsof BYU Cougars, Baylor Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 18,872$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.98 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 15,905$7,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,429.54 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Baylor Bears | 6c | 11,949$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Baylor Bears | 50c | 5,630$2,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.05 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…ed37backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 4,491$2,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.59 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 3,074$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.36 | 369 | 44.2%163 W · 206 L | -19.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed BYU Cougars | 60c | 2,290$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.41 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed BYU Cougars | 51c | 1,579$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.23 | 188 | 46.8%88 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -8.7wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 1,100$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9569…27fdbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.1wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Baylor Bears | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 800$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9764…c40cbacked BYU Cougars | 52c | 763.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.83 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 425.53$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked BYU Cougars | 48c | 416.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.66 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked BYU Cougars | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 269.31$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Baylor Bears | 49c | 258.07$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.21 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 253.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.3 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fb…b328backed BYU Cougars | 32c | 179$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.2 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed BYU Cougars | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 155 | 59.4%92 W · 63 L | +15.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 105$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 100.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.77 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Baylor Bears | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…be06backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 83.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed BYU Cougars | 47c | 67.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed BYU Cougars | 52c | 50.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3da…c91fbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0825…5e07backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 33.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 31.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa027…f2d6backed Baylor Bears | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed BYU Cougars | 49c | 27.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked BYU Cougars | 47c | 25.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.69 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed BYU Cougars | 48c | 23.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Baylor Bears | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…a97bbacked BYU Cougars | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-3.5)this page
- BYU Cougars vs. Baylor BearsBYU Cougars won
- BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 158.5Over won
- BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-2.5)BYU Cougars won
- Spread: BYU Cougars (-4.5)BYU Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.