Tennis · resolved market
Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9a7116731ca8716380454035e1cf18535e48b7a7b2fb57e1eeeee89e722d3c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shapovalovof Shapovalov, Kovacevic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Shapovalov | 73c | 10,000$7,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720.26 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Kovacevic | 27c | 7,442$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.34 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Kovacevic | 28c | 6,706$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,894.6 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kovacevic | 7c | 6,283$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.57 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kovacevic | 12c | 5,751$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Shapovalov | 71c | 5,633$3,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.55 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Shapovalov | 73c | 3,000$2,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Shapovalov | 74c | 2,949$2,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.79 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -16.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kovacevic | 26c | 2,663$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.3 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Kovacevic | 27c | 1,972$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.44 | 213 | 38.5%82 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Kovacevic | 30c | 1,675$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.56 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Shapovalov | 71c | 1,526$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.47 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Kovacevic | 17c | 1,250$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.42 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Kovacevic | 27c | 1,215$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.57 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Kovacevic | 3c | 1,182$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Kovacevic | 11c | 1,168$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Kovacevic | 18c | 1,078$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.28 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Kovacevic | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Kovacevic | 17c | 591.59$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe81c…a724backed Shapovalov | 74c | 590.54$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.54 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Kovacevic | 29c | 551.01$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Kovacevic | 15c | 449.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.56 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Shapovalov | 76c | 351$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.6 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Kovacevic | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae56…8c22backed Kovacevic | 17c | 285.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Shapovalov | 74c | 270.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.68 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Kovacevic | 28c | 254$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.12 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Kovacevic | 30c | 248.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Shapovalov | 72c | 177.18$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kovacevic | 16c | 167.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Kovacevic | 30c | 142.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 420 | 46.9%197 W · 223 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Shapovalov | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Shapovalov | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Kovacevic | 27c | 115.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Kovacevic | 14c | 100.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Kovacevic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Kovacevic | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Kovacevic | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Kovacevic | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Kovacevic | 16c | 98.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Kovacevic | 17c | 97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Shapovalov | 76c | 94.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Shapovalov | 72c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Kovacevic | 20c | 88.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e5…293bbacked Shapovalov | 72c | 86.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c14…f78cbacked Shapovalov | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed Kovacevic | 29c | 83.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Shapovalov | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…06cbbacked Shapovalov | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 170 | 56.5%96 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Kovacevic | 30c | 65.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Kovacevic | 29c | 64.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kovacevic | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Shapovalov | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Shapovalov | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc232…1c97backed Shapovalov | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 74cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb490…91e7backed Kovacevic | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Shapovalov | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Shapovalov | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…a60fbacked Shapovalov | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Shapovalov | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x641f…049abacked Shapovalov | 71c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8280…a6d2backed Shapovalov | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 68 | 72.1%49 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7791…03f7backed Shapovalov | 73c | 14.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Shapovalov | 79c | 13.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Aleksandar Kovacevicthis page
- Set Handicap: Shapovalov (-1.5) vs Kovacevic (+1.5)Shapovalov won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.