Princeton Tigers vs. Brown Bears

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd00d03d466de1e420b6fc022cd4432230046fad645bc81c9be713163c1de6923

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Brown Bearsof Princeton Tigers, Brown Bears
Resolved: Feb 20, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $27,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $31,099

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,362 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Princeton Tigers	39c	2,801$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,079.68	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Princeton Tigers	38c	1,786$683 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$683.32	558	40.3%225 W · 333 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Brown Bears	66c	1,761$1,163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.13	3,380	49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L	+30.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Brown Bears	68c	1,412$963 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$449.04	5,553	47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L	+26.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Princeton Tigers	25c	1,369$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$346.28	815	28.8%235 W · 580 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Brown Bears	55c	1,334$739 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.36	1,511	47.8%722 W · 789 L	-35.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Brown Bears	55c	1,272$702 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$569.96	1,155	50.4%582 W · 573 L	-34.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Princeton Tigers	45c	1,248$561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560.67	2,687	48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Brown Bears	66c	1,225$814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$410.77	349	43.3%151 W · 198 L	-15.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Princeton Tigers	30c	937.22$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.2	1,983	26.4%523 W · 1,460 L	-55.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-12%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brown Bears	57c	924.54$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.55	2,896	50%1,448 W · 1,448 L	+71.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Brown Bears	71c	830.68$589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$241.49	244	44.7%109 W · 135 L	-6.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Princeton Tigers	23c	613.94$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.07	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Brown Bears	58c	516.14$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$217.26	814	53.1%432 W · 382 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Princeton Tigers	43c	506.92$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218	250	49.2%123 W · 127 L	+8.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Princeton Tigers	5c	500$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	149	30.2%45 W · 104 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Brown Bears	69c	382.05$263 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$119.13	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Brown Bears	47c	359.75$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.44	2,012	50%1,006 W · 1,006 L	+22.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Princeton Tigers	46c	320$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.2	934	47.9%447 W · 487 L	-19.2wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Princeton Tigers	30c	308.25$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.42	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Princeton Tigers	46c	300$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	2,194	33.4%733 W · 1,461 L	+19.2wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Princeton Tigers	41c	295.73$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.8	771	42.3%326 W · 445 L	+2.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Princeton Tigers	14c	274.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.86	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Princeton Tigers	43c	274.61$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.91	51	27.5%14 W · 37 L	-7.1wins	-0.14per pick	41cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Brown Bears	68c	271.51$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.71	870	47.2%411 W · 459 L	-23.9wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Brown Bears	80c	230$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.9	1,420	43.9%623 W · 797 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed Brown Bears	75c	230$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.5	98	45.9%45 W · 53 L	-6.2wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Brown Bears	55c	218.18$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.18	453	51.4%233 W · 220 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Princeton Tigers	45c	206.64$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.63	1,446	43.4%627 W · 819 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Brown Bears	70c	205.38$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.37	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Princeton Tigers	47c	200$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93	1,317	33.6%443 W · 874 L	+14.9wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Brown Bears	55c	200$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	229	54.1%124 W · 105 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Princeton Tigers	26c	192.31$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	536	35.6%191 W · 345 L	+10.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Brown Bears	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	1,251	50.6%633 W · 618 L	+12.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Brown Bears	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	356	46.6%166 W · 190 L	-11.2wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Brown Bears	57c	179.99$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.4	574	48.3%277 W · 297 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…7824backed Princeton Tigers	46c	163.04$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Brown Bears	72c	159.27$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.83	932	47.3%441 W · 491 L	-22.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Princeton Tigers	25c	143.04$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.19	1,296	45.1%584 W · 712 L	-23.9wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa60…9b86backed Brown Bears	72c	138.89$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.89	97	69.1%67 W · 30 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	69cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…e488backed Brown Bears	55c	136.36$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.36	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Brown Bears	56c	126.71$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.16	703	49.6%349 W · 354 L	-6.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Brown Bears	77c	120$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.48	397	42.8%170 W · 227 L	-15.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Brown Bears	56c	117.99$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.92	918	48.9%449 W · 469 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Princeton Tigers	30c	101.77$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.05	709	36.1%256 W · 453 L	-27.3wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Princeton Tigers	27c	99.92$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.65	185	57.8%107 W · 78 L	+7.5wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Princeton Tigers	44c	97.87$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.06	247	37.7%93 W · 154 L	+13.2wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2b…cb3abacked Brown Bears	55c	96.34$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.39	65	49.2%32 W · 33 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Brown Bears	55c	90.91$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.91	833	50.2%418 W · 415 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89bc…a463backed Brown Bears	51c	88.24$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.24	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Princeton Tigers	43c	86.93$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.33	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Princeton Tigers	44c	86.6$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.48	1,058	55.8%590 W · 468 L	+34.2wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Princeton Tigers	19c	78.68$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked Brown Bears	47c	78.64$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.68	167	46.1%77 W · 90 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Brown Bears	57c	75.51$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.12	1,493	48.7%727 W · 766 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Princeton Tigers	23c	60$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Brown Bears	57c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	646	58.8%380 W · 266 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Brown Bears	72c	58$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.19	998	48.4%483 W · 515 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Brown Bears	54c	54.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.13	1,152	48.9%563 W · 589 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07a6…5638backed Brown Bears	73c	52.99$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.06	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-3.7wins	-0.14per pick	69cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Princeton Tigers	44c	49.46$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.76	990	45.6%451 W · 539 L	+9.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71ac…5fd6backed Brown Bears	56c	48.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.55	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Princeton Tigers	45c	42.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	127	48.8%62 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Princeton Tigers	29c	40$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	523	53.5%280 W · 243 L	-17.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Brown Bears	50c	40$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Brown Bears	76c	37$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.88	270	55.6%150 W · 120 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…2e74backed Princeton Tigers	45c	31.96$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.38	198	60.1%119 W · 79 L	+15.5wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+18.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Brown Bears	55c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.5	254	38.2%97 W · 157 L	-14.3wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Princeton Tigers	43c	29.37$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.63	161	40.4%65 W · 96 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Brown Bears	71c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.86	316	66.1%209 W · 107 L	+24.8wins	+0.08per pick	58cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Brown Bears	58c	19.99$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	68cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Princeton Tigers vs. Brown Bearsthis page
Princeton Tigers vs. Brown Bears: O/U 131.5Over won
Spread: Brown Bears (-1.5)Brown Bears won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Princeton Tigers vs. Brown Bears

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event