NHL · resolved market
AHL: Rockford IceHogs vs. Milwaukee Admirals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78eeef0d0a3c6afba8f49e33fc67d39c606d889d7c000e6d4cf3ab61b2d7dc8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Admiralsof Rockford IceHogs, Milwaukee Admirals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,424
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,424 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56d4…9c57backed Rockford IceHogs | 42c | 3,514$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.82 | 231 | 55%127 W · 104 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 1,488$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.84 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 1,266$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.38 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.52 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Rockford IceHogs | 43c | 215$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.45 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Rockford IceHogs | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 190.39$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 95.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 91.47$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.33 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 76.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Rockford IceHogs | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…8d29backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 27.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a6…5638backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 91 | 68.1%62 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa049…4314backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Milwaukee Admirals | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Milwaukee Admirals | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.